Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–1· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 07 Oct 2026 07:10 UTC. Source synced 07 Oct 2026 07:09 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 07 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC
Source synced 07 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC · source kickoff 07 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 3–1
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 07 Oct 2026 07:10 UTC
Source synced 07 Oct 2026 07:09 UTC · source kickoff 07 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 16 Jul 2026 23:56 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Chicago Fire
LLLDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Chicago Fire scored 6 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Chicago Fire 0–1 ChattanoogaMLS Next Pro · UTC
Chicago Fire 1–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer · UTC
Chicago Fire 1–2 Philadelphia Union IIMLS Next Pro · UTC
Chicago Fire 1–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Chicago Fire 3–1 Inter Miami IIMLS Next Pro · UTC
Away matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
WLWWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Vancouver Whitecaps scored 9 and conceded 2 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
CF Montreal 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship · UTC
Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 0–0 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Chicago Fire
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.92 / 1.53
xG per match, for / against
1.92 / 1.53
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Chicago Fire vs New England RevolutionxG for / against Chicago Fire: 1.92 / 1.53
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 09:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 09:20 UTC.
Away matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
6.49 / 3.20
xG per match, for / against
1.62 / 0.80
Goals on this same sample
8 / 0
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver WhitecapsxG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 2.21 / 1.16
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC.
Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver WhitecapsxG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 2.57 / 0.37
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC.
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver WhitecapsxG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 1.30 / 0.57
Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 04:52 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 04:52 UTC.
Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver WhitecapsxG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 0.41 / 1.10
Statistics synced: team 26 Jul 2026 04:22 UTC; opponent 26 Jul 2026 04:22 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Chicago Fire
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Vancouver Whitecaps
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Chicago Fire
10 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 26 Sep 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 5
Points / played
42 / 26
Table source synced 06 Oct 2026 23:18 UTC.
Vancouver Whitecaps
9.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 02:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 1
Points / played
50 / 26
Table source synced 06 Oct 2026 23:18 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer · UTC
Chicago Fire 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Oct 2026 00:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.