Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–1· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 23 Oct 2026 03:50 UTC. Source synced 22 Oct 2026 23:07 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 22 Oct 2026 10:41 UTC
Source synced 22 Oct 2026 01:09 UTC · source kickoff 21 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC
v2 · FT · 2–1
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 23 Oct 2026 03:50 UTC
Source synced 22 Oct 2026 23:07 UTC · source kickoff 21 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 05 Sep 2026 23:12 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
FC Cincinnati
LDDWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
FC Cincinnati scored 9 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
FC Cincinnati 2–3 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer · UTC
FC Cincinnati 3–3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer · UTC
FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
FC Cincinnati 2–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
FC Cincinnati 1–2 AtlasLeagues Cup · UTC
Away matches
DC United
LLDLD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 15
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
DC United scored 6 and conceded 15 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Orlando City SC 4–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 4–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 3–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
CF Montreal 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
FC Cincinnati
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.96 / 1.69
xG per match, for / against
1.96 / 1.69
Goals on this same sample
2 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
FC Cincinnati vs New England RevolutionxG for / against FC Cincinnati: 1.96 / 1.69
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
Away matches
DC United
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.26 / 5.03
xG per match, for / against
1.63 / 2.52
Goals on this same sample
1 / 8
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Orlando City SC vs DC UnitedxG for / against DC United: 2.60 / 2.62
Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC.
Inter Miami vs DC UnitedxG for / against DC United: 0.66 / 2.41
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:15 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
FC Cincinnati
Reported absences
J. MartinezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 21 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
J. MalatiniQuestionable · Thigh Injury
Record synced 21 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
DC United
Reported absences
G. SegalMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 21 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
FC Cincinnati
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 9
Points / played
36 / 29
Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.
DC United
4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 13
Points / played
33 / 29
Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 0–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 2–3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
FC Cincinnati 0–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 3–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 21 Oct 2026 00:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.