Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 4–0· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 11 Oct 2026 05:40 UTC
Source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:38 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 4–0
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC
Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 03 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Inter Miami
DWDDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
15 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Inter Miami scored 15 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Inter Miami 2–2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 2–0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup · UTC
Inter Miami 2–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 7–1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
DC United
DLDDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
DC United scored 8 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 3–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
CF Montreal 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Houston Dynamo 1–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Nashville SC 2–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Inter Miami
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.53 / 1.78
xG per match, for / against
1.53 / 1.78
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Inter Miami vs San DiegoxG for / against Inter Miami: 1.53 / 1.78
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC.
Away matches
DC United
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.51 / 3.19
xG per match, for / against
1.26 / 1.60
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Houston Dynamo vs DC UnitedxG for / against DC United: 0.85 / 0.99
Statistics synced: team 23 Jul 2026 02:52 UTC; opponent 23 Jul 2026 02:52 UTC.
Nashville SC vs DC UnitedxG for / against DC United: 1.66 / 2.20
Statistics synced: team 10 May 2026 03:31 UTC; opponent 10 May 2026 03:31 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Inter Miami
Reported absences
F. MuraQuestionable · Ankle Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
T. SegoviaQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
I. FrayQuestionable · Groin Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
T. AllendeMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
S. MoralesMissing Fixture · Red Card
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Y. BrightQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
M. SilvettiMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
DC United
Reported absences
G. SegalQuestionable · Leg Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Inter Miami
13 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 23:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 3
Points / played
46 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
DC United
10 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 30 Sep 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 11
Points / played
30 / 26
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
DC United 1–2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 3–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 1–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 1–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 1–3 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 06:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.