Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt LakeMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–1· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 11 Oct 2026 05:40 UTC
Source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:37 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 2–1
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC
Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 03 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Philadelphia Union
WWWDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Philadelphia Union scored 13 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer · UTC
Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Philadelphia Union 0–2 Santos LagunaLeagues Cup · UTC
Away matches
Real Salt Lake
LLLLD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Real Salt Lake scored 3 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Houston Dynamo 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
Leon 3–0 Real Salt LakeLeagues Cup · UTC
Orlando City SC 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
St. Louis City 1–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Philadelphia Union
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.93 / 1.10
xG per match, for / against
2.93 / 1.10
Goals on this same sample
4 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SCxG for / against Philadelphia Union: 2.93 / 1.10
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:18 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:18 UTC.
Away matches
Real Salt Lake
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.32 / 2.93
xG per match, for / against
0.66 / 1.46
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt LakexG for / against Real Salt Lake: 0.08 / 1.22
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC.
St. Louis City vs Real Salt LakexG for / against Real Salt Lake: 1.24 / 1.71
Statistics synced: team 02 Aug 2026 04:21 UTC; opponent 02 Aug 2026 04:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Philadelphia Union
Reported absences
J. Sery LarsenMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
P. NdingaQuestionable · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Real Salt Lake
Reported absences
L. EngelQuestionable · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
A. KatranisQuestionable · Groin Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
J. GladMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Z. BoothQuestionable · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
D. LunaMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
G. DillonQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
J. J. AriasQuestionable · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
A. PiolMissing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
D. ZagarQuestionable · Inactive
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Philadelphia Union
14 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 26 Sep 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 6
Points / played
39 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Real Salt Lake
13.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 01:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 11
Points / played
32 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 06:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.