Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–2· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 11 Oct 2026 05:40 UTC
Source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:35 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 3–2
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 12 Oct 2026 09:30 UTC
Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 03 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Charlotte
LDWWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Charlotte scored 6 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Charlotte 0–1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 0–0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 3–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 3–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC
Charlotte 0–1 PachucaLeagues Cup · UTC
Away matches
FC Dallas
WDLWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 13
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
FC Dallas scored 11 and conceded 13 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
St. Louis City 3–3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
Real Salt Lake 3–4 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
Austin 1–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Charlotte
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.19 / 1.11
xG per match, for / against
1.19 / 1.11
Goals on this same sample
0 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Charlotte vs Chicago FirexG for / against Charlotte: 1.19 / 1.11
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:25 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:25 UTC.
Away matches
FC Dallas
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.72 / 1.67
xG per match, for / against
1.72 / 1.67
Goals on this same sample
4 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Real Salt Lake vs FC DallasxG for / against FC Dallas: 1.72 / 1.67
Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 03:52 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 03:52 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Charlotte
Reported absences
T. ReamMissing Fixture · Red Card
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
B. BronicoQuestionable · Lower-Body Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
A. GoodwinMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
N. BerchimasMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
A. JohnMissing Fixture · Upper-Body Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
FC Dallas
Reported absences
DanielQuestionable · Leg Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Geovane JesusQuestionable · Knee Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Charlotte
14 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 26 Sep 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 5
Points / played
43 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
FC Dallas
14 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 3
Points / played
47 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 06:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.