Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CityMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 18 Oct 2026 09:01 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 11 Oct 2026 20:46 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Minnesota United FC
DLLDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
Minnesota United FC scored 9 and conceded 12 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 2–3 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 3–3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
St. Louis City
WWDWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
St. Louis City scored 12 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Colorado Rapids 0–3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup · UTC
Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Minnesota United FC
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
8.57 / 5.19
xG per match, for / against
2.14 / 1.30
Goals on this same sample
8 / 10
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Minnesota United FC vs Houston DynamoxG for / against Minnesota United FC: 1.30 / 1.58
Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 16:56 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 16:56 UTC.
Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles GalaxyxG for / against Minnesota United FC: 1.88 / 1.59
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:36 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:36 UTC.
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SCxG for / against Minnesota United FC: 3.64 / 1.09
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC.
Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FCxG for / against Minnesota United FC: 1.75 / 0.93
Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 02:42 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 02:42 UTC.
Away matches
St. Louis City
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.52 / 1.30
xG per match, for / against
0.52 / 1.30
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CityxG for / against St. Louis City: 0.52 / 1.30
Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Minnesota United FC
Reported absences
A. SmirMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
P. StroudMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
A. MarkanichMissing Fixture · Concussion
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
St. Louis City
Reported absences
C. WallemQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
Celio PompeuMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Minnesota United FC
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 01:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 13
Points / played
31 / 29
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
St. Louis City
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 2
Points / played
51 / 29
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
St. Louis City 1–2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup · UTC
Minnesota United FC 3–0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Minnesota United FC 4–1 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 07:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.