Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 18 Oct 2026 09:01 UTC
Source synced 18 Oct 2026 01:35 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 1–1
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 19 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 06 May 2026 23:20 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
New York City FC
LLDLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
New York City FC scored 4 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
New York City FC 0–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 1–2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 0–0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 2–3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 1–2 NecaxaLeagues Cup · UTC
Away matches
Los Angeles FC
LDLDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Los Angeles FC scored 5 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
FC Dallas 1–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sporting Kansas City 3–1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Real Salt Lake 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
DC United 0–0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
New York City FC
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.30 / 1.40
xG per match, for / against
2.30 / 1.40
Goals on this same sample
0 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
New York City FC vs New York Red BullsxG for / against New York City FC: 2.30 / 1.40
Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 23:38 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 23:38 UTC.
Away matches
Los Angeles FC
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.36 / 1.11
xG per match, for / against
0.36 / 1.11
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FCxG for / against Los Angeles FC: 0.36 / 1.11
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
New York City FC
Reported absences
K. ParksMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
M. MoralezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
K. TrewinMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
D. BaieraMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
A. FarnosMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Los Angeles FC
Reported absences
T. TillmanMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
J. EbobisseMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
C. CarterMissing Fixture · Arm Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 03:24 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
New York City FC
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 10
Points / played
33 / 29
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
Los Angeles FC
2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Western Conference
Position 6
Points / played
45 / 30
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 08:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.