Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 0–2· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 18 Oct 2026 09:01 UTC
Source synced 18 Oct 2026 01:36 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 0–2
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 19 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC
Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 10 Oct 2026 23:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
New York Red Bulls
WLLDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
New York Red Bulls scored 6 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
New York Red Bulls 4–1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 0–3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 1–1 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
Toronto FC
LLLWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Toronto FC scored 4 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
New York Red Bulls
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.16 / 2.12
xG per match, for / against
4.16 / 2.12
Goals on this same sample
4 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
New York Red Bulls vs San DiegoxG for / against New York Red Bulls: 4.16 / 2.12
Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC.
Away matches
Toronto FC
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.08 / 2.54
xG per match, for / against
1.08 / 2.54
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
St. Louis City vs Toronto FCxG for / against Toronto FC: 1.08 / 2.54
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
New York Red Bulls
Reported absences
A. MarcucciMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Toronto FC
Reported absences
B. KuscevicMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
R. LaryeaMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
W. ZimmermanMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
N. PalacioMissing Fixture · Lower-Body Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
New York Red Bulls
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 8
Points / played
36 / 29
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
Toronto FC
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 11
Points / played
33 / 29
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 08:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.