Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 4–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 25 Oct 2026 12:20 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 21 Oct 2026 19:31 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Columbus Crew
WWWLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Columbus Crew scored 10 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Columbus Crew 3–1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer · UTC
Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer · UTC
Columbus Crew 2–1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup · UTC
Columbus Crew 0–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Columbus Crew 3–0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
Toronto FC
WLLLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Toronto FC scored 5 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
St. Louis City 3–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Columbus Crew
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.73 / 1.01
xG per match, for / against
2.87 / 0.51
Goals on this same sample
5 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Columbus Crew vs CharlottexG for / against Columbus Crew: 3.86 / 0.74
Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC.
Columbus Crew vs Inter MiamixG for / against Columbus Crew: 1.87 / 0.27
Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 19:26 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 19:26 UTC.
Away matches
Toronto FC
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.74 / 3.55
xG per match, for / against
0.87 / 1.78
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FCxG for / against Toronto FC: 0.66 / 1.01
Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC.
St. Louis City vs Toronto FCxG for / against Toronto FC: 1.08 / 2.54
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Columbus Crew
Reported absences
W. Abou AliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
R. CamachoQuestionable · Chest Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
T. HabrouneQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Toronto FC
Reported absences
W. ZimmermanMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
N. PalacioMissing Fixture · Lower-Body Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
K. FranklinMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Columbus Crew
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 22 Oct 2026 00:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 11
Points / played
35 / 30
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Toronto FC
6.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 10
Points / played
36 / 30
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC
Columbus Crew 1–1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC
Toronto FC 0–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC
Columbus Crew 4–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 06:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.