Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–2· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC. Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 25 Oct 2026 12:20 UTC
Source synced 25 Oct 2026 00:59 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 2–2
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 26 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC
Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 19 Oct 2026 18:32 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Orlando City SC
WWWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Orlando City SC scored 13 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Orlando City SC 4–1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 3–2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 3–0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 1–0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
New York City FC
LLDWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
New York City FC scored 6 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Inter Miami 2–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Real Salt Lake 0–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Orlando City SC
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.06 / 6.88
xG per match, for / against
2.53 / 3.44
Goals on this same sample
7 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Orlando City SC vs DC UnitedxG for / against Orlando City SC: 2.62 / 2.60
Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC.
Orlando City SC vs Columbus CrewxG for / against Orlando City SC: 2.44 / 4.28
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:16 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:16 UTC.
Away matches
New York City FC
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.34 / 5.44
xG per match, for / against
1.09 / 1.36
Goals on this same sample
5 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Inter Miami vs New York City FCxG for / against New York City FC: 1.53 / 2.31
Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC.
Chicago Fire vs New York City FCxG for / against New York City FC: 1.50 / 1.09
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC.
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FCxG for / against New York City FC: 0.80 / 0.95
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:24 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:24 UTC.
Real Salt Lake vs New York City FCxG for / against New York City FC: 0.51 / 1.09
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 01:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 01:20 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Orlando City SC
Reported absences
G. DorseyQuestionable · Back Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
R. JanssonMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
Vinicius NogueiraQuestionable · Shoulder Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
T. SpicerMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
Luis OtavioMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
B. RheinQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
New York City FC
Reported absences
K. ParksQuestionable · Leg Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
M. MoralezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
K. TrewinQuestionable · Ankle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
D. BaieraMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
A. FarnosMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Orlando City SC
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 7
Points / played
41 / 30
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
New York City FC
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eastern Conference
Position 12
Points / played
34 / 30
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
New York City FC 5–0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 1–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
New York City FC 4–2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 07:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.