Major League Soccer · 24 Oct 2026

DC United vs FC CincinnatiMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–2 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC. Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 25 Oct 2026 12:20 UTC Source synced 25 Oct 2026 00:59 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 0–2 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 26 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 22 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

DC United

WLLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

DC United scored 5 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. DC United 2–1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. DC United 0–1 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. DC United 1–2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. DC United 0–0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. DC United 2–1 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer · UTC

Away matches

FC Cincinnati

WLDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 15
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

FC Cincinnati scored 6 and conceded 15 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. CF Montreal 3–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  3. Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. Philadelphia Union 5–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. Nashville SC 4–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

DC United

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.11 / 3.90
xG per match, for / against
2.06 / 1.95
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. DC United vs New York Red Bulls xG for / against DC United: 1.26 / 3.00 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  2. DC United vs Charlotte xG for / against DC United: 2.85 / 0.90 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC.

Away matches

FC Cincinnati

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.95 / 4.59
xG per match, for / against
2.32 / 1.53
Goals on this same sample
5 / 7

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati xG for / against FC Cincinnati: 2.34 / 1.35 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:15 UTC.
  2. Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati xG for / against FC Cincinnati: 2.85 / 1.20 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:44 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:44 UTC.
  3. Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati xG for / against FC Cincinnati: 1.76 / 2.04 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

DC United

Reported absences

  • L. MunteanuMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • S. JohnsonMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • G. SegalMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • H. KijimaMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

FC Cincinnati

Reported absences

  • M. RobinsonMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • J. MartinezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • E. EcheniqueMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
  • J. MalatiniMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

DC United

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 21 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eastern Conference
Position 13
Points / played
33 / 30

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

FC Cincinnati

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 21 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eastern Conference
Position 8
Points / played
39 / 30

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. DC United 0–1 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  3. DC United 2–3 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. FC Cincinnati 0–0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. DC United 3–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 07:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1490560
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
e06cec92f495acd5d64e7c496de87598a09b1c2ddf3d5f98441a0b5bfd86c820