Home win
- Decimal odds
- 1.56
- Without margin
- 59.66%
- Provider estimate
- 45.00%
- Provider − market
- -14.66 pp
Major League Soccer · 01 Nov 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle SoundersMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Awaiting confirmed result.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
- Home win
- 45%
- Draw
- 45%
- Away win
- 10%
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 22:33 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.
Source updated 31 Oct 2026 20:01 UTC; synced 31 Oct 2026 22:33 UTC. Saved 01 Nov 2026 04:21 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.
Draw
- Decimal odds
- 4.4
- Without margin
- 21.15%
- Provider estimate
- 45.00%
- Provider − market
- +23.85 pp
Away win
- Decimal odds
- 4.85
- Without margin
- 19.19%
- Provider estimate
- 10.00%
- Provider − market
- -9.19 pp
Raw implied probability total: 107.45%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.
The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
WDLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
- Sample size
- 5 matches
- Goals scored / conceded
- 12 / 9
- Over 2.5 frequency
- 5/5 100%
- BTTS frequency
- 4/5 80%
Vancouver Whitecaps scored 12 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
- Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San DiegoMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 AustinMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 1–3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer · UTC
Away matches
Seattle Sounders
DLWDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
- Sample size
- 5 matches
- Goals scored / conceded
- 9 / 7
- Over 2.5 frequency
- 3/5 60%
- BTTS frequency
- 3/5 60%
Seattle Sounders scored 9 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
- San Diego 2–2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
- FC Dallas 1–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
- New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Colorado Rapids 3–3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Los Angeles Galaxy 1–1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
- xG for / against
- 6.21 / 3.59
- xG per match, for / against
- 3.11 / 1.80
- Goals on this same sample
- 5 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego xG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 2.88 / 2.54 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 02:34 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 02:34 UTC.
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin xG for / against Vancouver Whitecaps: 3.33 / 1.05 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 09:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 09:20 UTC.
Away matches
Seattle Sounders
Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.
- xG for / against
- 8.02 / 8.35
- xG per match, for / against
- 1.60 / 1.67
- Goals on this same sample
- 9 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
- San Diego vs Seattle Sounders xG for / against Seattle Sounders: 1.41 / 2.41 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC.
- FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders xG for / against Seattle Sounders: 1.99 / 0.99 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 20:15 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 20:15 UTC.
- New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders xG for / against Seattle Sounders: 1.47 / 0.82 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:16 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:16 UTC.
- Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders xG for / against Seattle Sounders: 0.95 / 1.65 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders xG for / against Seattle Sounders: 2.20 / 2.48 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 01:21 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 01:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Vancouver Whitecaps
Reported absences
- A. CubasMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- E. SabbiMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- S. AdekugbeMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- T. BlackmonQuestionable · Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- R. ModestoQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- B. HalbouniMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- K. G. Cabrera NakamuraMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- R. ElloumiMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Seattle Sounders
Reported absences
- Y. Gomez AndradeMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- P. de La VegaMissing Fixture · Calf Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- D. MusovskiQuestionable · Head Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- P. RothrockQuestionable · Hamstring Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- N. PetkovicMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
- P. KingstonMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 01 Nov 2026 02:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Vancouver Whitecaps
3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
- Western Conference
- Position 1
- Points / played
- 58 / 32
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 04:19 UTC.
Seattle Sounders
3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
- Western Conference
- Position 9
- Points / played
- 43 / 32
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 04:19 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
- Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Seattle Sounders 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsCONCACAF Champions League · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle SoundersCONCACAF Champions League · UTC
- Seattle Sounders 2–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer · UTC
- Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 01 Nov 2026 04:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.
Read our data and publication methodology
Publication record
- Fixture ID
- 1490591
- Method
- factual-analysis-v1
- Content checksum
- 01098ea87461784c89bb2bb84a6a0c50958dae7a084d0dcb7fc97ffeb9efbb4a