Major League Soccer · 31 Oct 2026

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt LakeMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 07:50 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 29 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 30 Oct 2026 20:01 UTC; synced 30 Oct 2026 21:38 UTC. Saved 31 Oct 2026 06:30 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
2.27
Without margin
40.96%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Draw

Decimal odds
3.76
Without margin
24.73%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Away win

Decimal odds
2.71
Without margin
34.31%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Raw implied probability total: 107.55%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

San Jose Earthquakes

DDWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

San Jose Earthquakes scored 9 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer · UTC
  3. San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer · UTC

Away matches

Real Salt Lake

WWLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Real Salt Lake scored 7 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Austin 1–2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. Sporting Kansas City 1–3 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  3. Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. Houston Dynamo 2–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

San Jose Earthquakes

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.69 / 2.63
xG per match, for / against
1.42 / 0.66
Goals on this same sample
6 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids xG for / against San Jose Earthquakes: 2.39 / 0.82 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 02:34 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 02:34 UTC.
  2. San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC xG for / against San Jose Earthquakes: 0.81 / 0.43 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 11:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 11:15 UTC.
  3. San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC xG for / against San Jose Earthquakes: 1.11 / 0.36 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 16:17 UTC.
  4. San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo xG for / against San Jose Earthquakes: 1.38 / 1.02 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 01:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 01:29 UTC.

Away matches

Real Salt Lake

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.10 / 4.90
xG per match, for / against
1.03 / 1.22
Goals on this same sample
6 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Austin vs Real Salt Lake xG for / against Real Salt Lake: 2.21 / 0.92 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 00:55 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 00:55 UTC.
  2. Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake xG for / against Real Salt Lake: 1.05 / 0.79 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 10:46 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 10:46 UTC.
  3. Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake xG for / against Real Salt Lake: 0.76 / 1.97 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 09:24 UTC.
  4. Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake xG for / against Real Salt Lake: 0.08 / 1.22 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:18 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

San Jose Earthquakes

Reported absences

  • T. WernerMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • J. A. Gonzalez MendozaQuestionable · Lower-Body Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • D. JonesMissing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • D. JohnsonMissing Fixture · Lower-Body Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • N. AdimabuaMissing Fixture · Hernia Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Real Salt Lake

Reported absences

  • L. EngelQuestionable · Hamstring Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • M. GuilavoguiMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • D. LunaMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • G. DillonQuestionable · Foot Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • J. J. AriasQuestionable · Hamstring Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  • E. EneliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

San Jose Earthquakes

2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 02:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Western Conference
Position 5
Points / played
49 / 32

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 06:20 UTC.

Real Salt Lake

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Western Conference
Position 9
Points / played
42 / 32

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 06:20 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer · UTC
  2. Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer · UTC
  3. San Jose Earthquakes 4–0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  4. San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer · UTC
  5. Real Salt Lake 0–2 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 06:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1490596
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
b1b2f1746cb3dd6d34c76ca3effefbbd8f19bad4a2f00f4cbc66e0aad0b894ae