Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 0–2· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC. Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 18 Oct 2026 09:01 UTC
Source synced 18 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 0–2
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 19 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC
Source synced 19 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 12 Oct 2026 19:32 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Atletico Paranaense
DWDDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Atletico Paranaense scored 10 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Atletico-MGSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 2–1 BahiaSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 3–3 FluminenseSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 1–1 RB BragantinoSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 2–0 VitoriaCopa Do Brasil · UTC
Away matches
Palmeiras
WDDDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Palmeiras scored 3 and conceded 2 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Fluminense 1–2 PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores · UTC
Gremio 0–0 PalmeirasSerie A · UTC
Botafogo 0–0 PalmeirasSerie A · UTC
Santos 0–0 PalmeirasCopa Do Brasil · UTC
Mirassol 1–1 PalmeirasSerie A · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Atletico Paranaense
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.12 / 2.69
xG per match, for / against
1.56 / 1.35
Goals on this same sample
4 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MGxG for / against Atletico Paranaense: 2.48 / 1.50
Statistics synced: team 15 Oct 2026 23:05 UTC; opponent 15 Oct 2026 23:05 UTC.
Atletico Paranaense vs BahiaxG for / against Atletico Paranaense: 0.64 / 1.19
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC.
Away matches
Palmeiras
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.14 / 2.31
xG per match, for / against
1.71 / 0.77
Goals on this same sample
3 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Fluminense vs PalmeirasxG for / against Palmeiras: 1.13 / 0.59
Statistics synced: team 16 Oct 2026 00:36 UTC; opponent 16 Oct 2026 00:36 UTC.
Gremio vs PalmeirasxG for / against Palmeiras: 2.49 / 0.97
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 07:14 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 07:14 UTC.
Mirassol vs PalmeirasxG for / against Palmeiras: 1.52 / 0.75
Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 00:18 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 00:18 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Atletico Paranaense
Reported absences
C. TeranMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
G. BenavidezMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
K. A. Calderon VargasMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
DantasMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Palmeiras
Reported absences
G. GomezMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
A. GiayMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
JefteMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
Vitor RoqueMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Atletico Paranaense
5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 12 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 3
Points / played
53 / 30
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:14 UTC.
Palmeiras
2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 2
Points / played
63 / 30
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 07:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 0–2 PalmeirasSerie A · UTC
Palmeiras 0–2 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · UTC
Palmeiras 1–0 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · UTC
Atletico Paranaense 2–2 PalmeirasSerie A · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 07:40 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.