Serie A · 03 Nov 2026

Chapecoense-sc vs MirassolMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 28 Oct 2026 21:07 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Chapecoense-sc

WLLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Chapecoense-sc scored 8 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Chapecoense-sc 2–1 FluminenseSerie A · UTC
  2. Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · UTC
  3. Chapecoense-sc 1–2 InternacionalSerie A · UTC
  4. Chapecoense-sc 1–0 Sao PauloSerie A · UTC
  5. Chapecoense-sc 3–3 BahiaSerie A · UTC

Away matches

Mirassol

LLDWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Mirassol scored 4 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Corinthians 2–0 MirassolSerie A · UTC
  2. Bahia 1–0 MirassolSerie A · UTC
  3. RB Bragantino 1–1 MirassolSerie A · UTC
  4. Coritiba 1–2 MirassolSerie A · UTC
  5. Santos 1–1 MirassolSerie A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Chapecoense-sc

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.51 / 4.25
xG per match, for / against
0.88 / 1.06
Goals on this same sample
5 / 7

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense xG for / against Chapecoense-sc: 0.52 / 1.41 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC.
  2. Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense xG for / against Chapecoense-sc: 1.72 / 1.37 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 07:24 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 07:24 UTC.
  3. Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional xG for / against Chapecoense-sc: 0.70 / 0.34 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:50 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:50 UTC.
  4. Chapecoense-sc vs Sao Paulo xG for / against Chapecoense-sc: 0.57 / 1.13 Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 00:22 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 00:22 UTC.

Away matches

Mirassol

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.60 / 8.89
xG per match, for / against
0.90 / 2.22
Goals on this same sample
2 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Corinthians vs Mirassol xG for / against Mirassol: 0.03 / 2.52 Statistics synced: team 01 Nov 2026 00:05 UTC; opponent 01 Nov 2026 00:05 UTC.
  2. Bahia vs Mirassol xG for / against Mirassol: 2.15 / 2.75 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 22:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 22:25 UTC.
  3. RB Bragantino vs Mirassol xG for / against Mirassol: 1.19 / 2.56 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 09:05 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 09:05 UTC.
  4. Santos vs Mirassol xG for / against Mirassol: 0.23 / 1.06 Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 00:22 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 00:22 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Chapecoense-sc

Reported absences

  • HeitorMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Rafael CarvalheiraQuestionable · Knee Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Mauricio GarcezQuestionable · Inactive Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Vinicius BalieiroMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Robert ConceicaoMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Mirassol

Reported absences

  • Edson CariocaMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Jose AldoQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • NeguebaMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • Bruno SantosMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Chapecoense-sc

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 20
Points / played
21 / 32

Table source synced 03 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.

Mirassol

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 16
Points / played
37 / 33

Table source synced 03 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-scSerie A · UTC
  2. Mirassol 1–0 Chapecoense-scSerie B · UTC
  3. Chapecoense-sc 0–1 MirassolSerie B · UTC
  4. Chapecoense-sc 0–1 MirassolSerie B · UTC
  5. Mirassol 1–0 Chapecoense-scSerie B · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 03 Nov 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1492443
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
5c84238d9140b077ad16d7e8ead404ed653d11831dadc5abf699a6aae9f0e5f9