Serie A · 06 Nov 2026

Cruzeiro vs BahiaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 04 Nov 2026 20:59 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Cruzeiro

WWWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Cruzeiro scored 9 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Cruzeiro 1–0 RemoSerie A · UTC
  2. Cruzeiro 2–0 Sao PauloSerie A · UTC
  3. Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico ParanaenseSerie A · UTC
  4. Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico-MGCopa Do Brasil · UTC
  5. Cruzeiro 2–1 FlamengoSerie A · UTC

Away matches

Bahia

DLLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Bahia scored 7 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Santos 1–1 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  2. Palmeiras 1–0 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  3. Atletico Paranaense 2–1 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  4. RB Bragantino 2–3 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  5. Vitoria 0–2 BahiaSerie A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Cruzeiro

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.85 / 0.26
xG per match, for / against
0.85 / 0.26
Goals on this same sample
1 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Cruzeiro vs Remo xG for / against Cruzeiro: 0.85 / 0.26 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 23:54 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 23:54 UTC.

Away matches

Bahia

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.89 / 5.26
xG per match, for / against
1.72 / 1.32
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Santos vs Bahia xG for / against Bahia: 1.77 / 2.56 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 14:35 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 14:35 UTC.
  2. Palmeiras vs Bahia xG for / against Bahia: 0.52 / 1.79 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 00:55 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 00:55 UTC.
  3. Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia xG for / against Bahia: 1.19 / 0.64 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 07:55 UTC.
  4. Vitoria vs Bahia xG for / against Bahia: 3.41 / 0.27 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Cruzeiro

Reported absences

  • L. VillalbaMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • William FurtadoMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • Matheus PereiraMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • L. SinisterraMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • Joao MarceloQuestionable · Injury Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • Gabriel PecMissing Fixture · Broken Leg Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • Felipe MoraisMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Bahia

Reported absences

  • Leo VieiraMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 04 Nov 2026 19:21 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Cruzeiro

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 3
Points / played
57 / 33

Table source synced 05 Nov 2026 23:14 UTC.

Bahia

8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 6
Points / played
53 / 33

Table source synced 05 Nov 2026 23:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Bahia 1–2 CruzeiroSerie A · UTC
  2. Bahia 1–2 CruzeiroSerie A · UTC
  3. Cruzeiro 3–0 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  4. Cruzeiro 1–1 BahiaSerie A · UTC
  5. Bahia 4–1 CruzeiroSerie A · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 06 Nov 2026 00:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1492444
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
ec3ab25883d5039bbb8a0bddf07a89383f7a48c300d528d5f5c09273c9f34fd4