Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–3· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 09:41 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 11 Oct 2026 05:50 UTC
Source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:01 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC
v2 · FT · 1–3
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 12 Oct 2026 09:41 UTC
Source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC · source kickoff 10 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 04 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Indy Eleven
LLWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Indy Eleven scored 8 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Indy Eleven 0–2 Miami FCUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 0–1 Oakland RootsUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 4–0 BrooklynUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 2–2 Birmingham LegionUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 2–1 Louisville CityUSL Championship · UTC
Away matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
DLDLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Tampa Bay Rowdies scored 4 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
San Antonio 0–0 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Hartford Athletic 3–1 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Detroit City 1–0 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Orange County SC 0–3 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Indy Eleven
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Away matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Indy Eleven
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Indy Eleven
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 03 Oct 2026 22:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
USL Championship
Position 9
Points / played
34 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 03 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
USL Championship
Position 1
Points / played
52 / 27
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Indy ElevenUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 1–3 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–1 Indy ElevenUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Indy ElevenUSL Championship · UTC
Indy Eleven 0–2 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 06:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.