Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–0· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 10:31 UTC. Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · 2H
Initial source observation · 25 Oct 2026 12:41 UTC
Source synced 25 Oct 2026 00:59 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 2–0
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 26 Oct 2026 10:31 UTC
Source synced 26 Oct 2026 00:09 UTC · source kickoff 24 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 20 Oct 2026 19:32 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
WLWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Tampa Bay Rowdies scored 10 and conceded 2 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Detroit CityUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–2 Miami FCUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 4–0 Birmingham LegionUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 BrooklynUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Rhode IslandUSL Championship · UTC
Away matches
Sporting JAX
LLLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 17
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Sporting JAX scored 5 and conceded 17 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Miami FC 4–1 Sporting JAXUSL Championship · UTC
Hartford Athletic 2–0 Sporting JAXUSL Championship · UTC
Brooklyn 4–1 Sporting JAXUSL Championship · UTC
Birmingham Legion 2–3 Sporting JAXUSL Championship · UTC
Sacramento Republic 5–0 Sporting JAXUSL Championship · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Away matches
Sporting JAX
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sporting JAX
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Tampa Bay Rowdies
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
USL Championship
Position 1
Points / played
58 / 29
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:18 UTC.
Sporting JAX
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 21 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
USL Championship
Position 13
Points / played
14 / 29
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:18 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Sporting JAX 0–2 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL League One Cup · UTC
Sporting JAX 0–1 Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL Championship · UTC
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Sporting JAXFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 07:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.