Allsvenskan · 12 Oct 2026

Malmo FF vs Kalmar FFMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 19:30 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 19:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 10 Oct 2026 20:33 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Malmo FF

WWDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Malmo FF scored 8 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Malmo FF 3–0 FC NordsjaellandFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Malmo FF 4–1 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Malmo FF 0–3 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Malmo FF 1–2 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC

Away matches

Kalmar FF

DLLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

Kalmar FF scored 7 and conceded 2 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. IFK Norrkoping 0–0 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. IF Elfsborg 1–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Halmstad 1–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Vasteras SK FK 0–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Angelholms FF 0–7 Kalmar FFSvenska Cupen · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Malmo FF

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.36 / 1.31
xG per match, for / against
3.36 / 1.31
Goals on this same sample
4 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS xG for / against Malmo FF: 3.36 / 1.31 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC.

Away matches

Kalmar FF

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Malmo FF

Reported absences

  • A. ChristiansenMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • P. JanssonMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • W. KamanziMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • E. EkongMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • K. BusuladzicMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • O. SjostrandMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Kalmar FF

Reported absences

  • K. PaananenMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
  • J. KindbergQuestionable · Inactive Record synced 12 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Malmo FF

9.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 8
Points / played
33 / 22

Table source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kalmar FF

6.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 06 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 14
Points / played
19 / 22

Table source synced 12 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Malmo FF 1–1 Kalmar FFFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Malmo FF 5–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Kalmar FF 1–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 12 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1494295
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
5285aa8db1481b62c98ef1ebc7db85bbc80242841802cea0b555a34f1106e20d