Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 10 Oct 2026 21:40 UTC. Source synced 10 Oct 2026 21:39 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 04 Oct 2026 13:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Mjallby AIF
LLLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Mjallby AIF scored 5 and conceded 12 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Mjallby AIF 0–3 GaisAllsvenskan · UTC
Mjallby AIF 1–4 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan · UTC
Mjallby AIF 0–1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League · UTC
Mjallby AIF 4–3 SiriusAllsvenskan · UTC
Mjallby AIF 0–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan · UTC
Away matches
Degerfors IF
DLLLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Degerfors IF scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
IK brage 1–1 Degerfors IFFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Sirius 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
IF Elfsborg 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
IF Brommapojkarna 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
IFK Östersund 1–5 Degerfors IFSvenska Cupen · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Mjallby AIF
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.02 / 1.34
xG per match, for / against
1.02 / 1.34
Goals on this same sample
0 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Mjallby AIF vs GaisxG for / against Mjallby AIF: 1.02 / 1.34
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC.
Away matches
Degerfors IF
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.71 / 1.86
xG per match, for / against
1.71 / 1.86
Goals on this same sample
0 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sirius vs Degerfors IFxG for / against Degerfors IF: 1.71 / 1.86
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Mjallby AIF
Reported absences
T. StavitskiMissing Fixture · Back Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 02:14 UTC.
M. IsakssonMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 02:14 UTC.
V. DalsgaardMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 02:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Degerfors IF
Reported absences
J. PikkarainenMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 02:14 UTC.
K. BouteraMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 10 Oct 2026 02:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Mjallby AIF
4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 06 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Allsvenskan
Position 12
Points / played
22 / 22
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 04:17 UTC.
Degerfors IF
7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 03 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Allsvenskan
Position 14
Points / played
19 / 22
Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 04:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Degerfors IF 1–4 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan · UTC
Degerfors IF 0–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan · UTC
Mjallby AIF 4–1 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
Degerfors IF 1–2 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan · UTC
Mjallby AIF 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 04:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.