Allsvenskan · 24 Oct 2026

Sirius vs AIK StockholmMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 15:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 18 Oct 2026 13:10 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Sirius

DWLLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Sirius scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sirius 2–2 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Sirius 2–0 Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Sirius 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Sirius 0–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Sirius 2–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · UTC

Away matches

AIK Stockholm

LDWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

AIK Stockholm scored 11 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Halmstad 2–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Piteå 0–3 AIK StockholmSvenska Cupen · UTC
  4. Djurgardens IF 1–3 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Orgryte IS 3–4 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Sirius

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.82 / 2.95
xG per match, for / against
1.41 / 1.48
Goals on this same sample
4 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sirius vs IF Elfsborg xG for / against Sirius: 0.96 / 1.24 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
  2. Sirius vs Degerfors IF xG for / against Sirius: 1.86 / 1.71 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC.

Away matches

AIK Stockholm

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Sirius

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

AIK Stockholm

Reported absences

  • S. PapagiannopoulosMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • D. BesirovicMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • M. EllingsenMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • I. CisseMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • F. NissenMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • A. HelmMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • C. PaveyMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • K. FillingMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.
  • A. RedkinMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 23 Oct 2026 13:54 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Sirius

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 1
Points / played
55 / 24

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 02:17 UTC.

AIK Stockholm

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 9
Points / played
34 / 24

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 02:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. AIK Stockholm 0–3 SiriusAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. AIK Stockholm 2–1 SiriusAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. AIK Stockholm 1–2 SiriusFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Sirius 3–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Sirius 0–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 02:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1494311
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
763356a859e39d5a3766c503ce0c0530f570de7db310c6fda660872450da4f10