Allsvenskan · 01 Nov 2026

Malmo FF vs Hammarby FFMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:18 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 31 Oct 2026 20:05 UTC; synced 31 Oct 2026 21:18 UTC. Saved 01 Nov 2026 01:30 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
4.3
Without margin
21.62%
Provider estimate
10.00%
Provider − market
-11.62 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
3.98
Without margin
23.36%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
+21.64 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
1.69
Without margin
55.02%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
-10.02 pp

Raw implied probability total: 107.55%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Malmo FF

LWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Malmo FF scored 8 and conceded 2 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Malmo FF 0–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Malmo FF 3–0 FC NordsjaellandFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Malmo FF 4–1 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Malmo FF 0–0 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · UTC

Away matches

Hammarby FF

WWWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Hammarby FF scored 7 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Mjallby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Degerfors IF 0–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Orgryte IS 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. AIK Stockholm 3–2 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Malmo FF

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.38 / 4.48
xG per match, for / against
2.13 / 1.49
Goals on this same sample
5 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Malmo FF vs BK Hacken xG for / against Malmo FF: 1.69 / 1.37 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.
  2. Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF xG for / against Malmo FF: 1.33 / 1.80 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 04:24 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 04:24 UTC.
  3. Malmo FF vs Orgryte IS xG for / against Malmo FF: 3.36 / 1.31 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 03:59 UTC.

Away matches

Hammarby FF

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.94 / 0.73
xG per match, for / against
1.47 / 0.37
Goals on this same sample
3 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF xG for / against Hammarby FF: 1.33 / 0.40 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 14:45 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 14:45 UTC.
  2. Halmstad vs Hammarby FF xG for / against Hammarby FF: 1.61 / 0.33 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Malmo FF

Reported absences

  • P. JanssonMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • W. KamanziMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • N. JohnMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • K. BusuladzicMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • O. SjostrandMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • A. HoogMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • T. LundberghMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • I. AssibuMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Hammarby FF

Reported absences

  • I. FofanaMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • A. BoudriMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
  • B. HedlofMissing Fixture · Hip Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Malmo FF

3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 7
Points / played
40 / 26

Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 01:20 UTC.

Hammarby FF

2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Allsvenskan
Position 2
Points / played
52 / 26

Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 01:20 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Hammarby FF 4–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  2. Malmo FF 1–3 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  3. Hammarby FF 2–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  4. Hammarby FF 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
  5. Malmo FF 2–0 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 01 Nov 2026 01:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1494325
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
4bd279094c9a081536330a4b1d9f89bd6c57bb43e4c61bee77128700c69d3b56