Home win
- Decimal odds
- 1.85
- Without margin
- 50.27%
- Provider estimate
- 45.00%
- Provider − market
- -5.27 pp
Allsvenskan · 01 Nov 2026
Vasteras SK FK vs IF BrommapojkarnaMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Awaiting confirmed result.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
- Home win
- 45%
- Draw
- 45%
- Away win
- 10%
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:18 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.
Source updated 31 Oct 2026 20:05 UTC; synced 31 Oct 2026 21:18 UTC. Saved 01 Nov 2026 03:10 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.
Draw
- Decimal odds
- 3.72
- Without margin
- 25.00%
- Provider estimate
- 45.00%
- Provider − market
- +20.00 pp
Away win
- Decimal odds
- 3.76
- Without margin
- 24.73%
- Provider estimate
- 10.00%
- Provider − market
- -14.73 pp
Raw implied probability total: 107.53%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.
The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Vasteras SK FK
LWWLD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
- Sample size
- 5 matches
- Goals scored / conceded
- 4 / 3
- Over 2.5 frequency
- 1/5 20%
- BTTS frequency
- 1/5 20%
Vasteras SK FK scored 4 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
- Vasteras SK FK 1–2 HalmstadAllsvenskan · UTC
- Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan · UTC
- Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan · UTC
- Vasteras SK FK 0–1 SiriusAllsvenskan · UTC
- Vasteras SK FK 0–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · UTC
Away matches
IF Brommapojkarna
WWLLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
- Sample size
- 5 matches
- Goals scored / conceded
- 11 / 14
- Over 2.5 frequency
- 5/5 100%
- BTTS frequency
- 3/5 60%
IF Brommapojkarna scored 11 and conceded 14 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
- Kalmar FF 0–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · UTC
- AIK Stockholm 5–6 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · UTC
- Hammarby FF 3–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · UTC
- Gais 4–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan · UTC
- Falu BS 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaSvenska Cupen · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Vasteras SK FK
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
- xG for / against
- 3.62 / 1.28
- xG per match, for / against
- 1.81 / 0.64
- Goals on this same sample
- 2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad xG for / against Vasteras SK FK: 2.11 / 0.40 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 17:15 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 17:15 UTC.
- Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF xG for / against Vasteras SK FK: 1.51 / 0.88 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 14:05 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 14:05 UTC.
Away matches
IF Brommapojkarna
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
- xG for / against
- 2.85 / 2.45
- xG per match, for / against
- 2.85 / 2.45
- Goals on this same sample
- 6 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
- AIK Stockholm vs IF Brommapojkarna xG for / against IF Brommapojkarna: 2.85 / 2.45 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 02:05 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 02:05 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Vasteras SK FK
Reported absences
- M. DialloMissing Fixture · Health problems Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
IF Brommapojkarna
Reported absences
- S. StrandMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
- K. SeverQuestionable · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 21:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Vasteras SK FK
3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
- Allsvenskan
- Position 6
- Points / played
- 41 / 26
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 02:20 UTC.
IF Brommapojkarna
3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
- Allsvenskan
- Position 11
- Points / played
- 34 / 26
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 02:20 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
- IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan · UTC
- IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs · UTC
- Vasteras SK FK 2–5 IF BrommapojkarnaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
- IF Brommapojkarna 1–4 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs · UTC
- IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 01 Nov 2026 03:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.
Read our data and publication methodology
Publication record
- Fixture ID
- 1494328
- Method
- factual-analysis-v1
- Content checksum
- 5ef6f2a71144644eb4f792cb7fb53e6c99d9333d1fbb152415d71fac85943260