Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 10:41 UTC. Source synced 25 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 05 Jul 2026 14:56 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Lillestrom
LDLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 14
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Lillestrom scored 6 and conceded 14 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Lillestrom 0–6 Real SociedadUEFA Europa League · UTC
Lillestrom 2–2 MoldeEliteserien · UTC
Lillestrom 1–2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League · UTC
Lillestrom 2–0 ValerengaEliteserien · UTC
Lillestrom 1–4 FredrikstadEliteserien · UTC
Away matches
Brann
WLLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Brann scored 8 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Kauno Žalgiris 1–4 BrannUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
Valerenga 3–1 BrannEliteserien · UTC
Start 2–1 BrannFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Os 1–2 BrannNM Cupen · UTC
Start 2–0 BrannEliteserien · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Lillestrom
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.62 / 6.98
xG per match, for / against
1.54 / 2.33
Goals on this same sample
4 / 8
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Lillestrom vs Real SociedadxG for / against Lillestrom: 2.29 / 2.46
Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.
Lillestrom vs MoldexG for / against Lillestrom: 1.63 / 2.95
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC.
Lillestrom vs ValerengaxG for / against Lillestrom: 0.70 / 1.57
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC.
Away matches
Brann
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
7.45 / 6.54
xG per match, for / against
2.48 / 2.18
Goals on this same sample
5 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Kauno Žalgiris vs BrannxG for / against Brann: 3.37 / 1.56
Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC.
Valerenga vs BrannxG for / against Brann: 2.93 / 2.76
Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 05:15 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 05:15 UTC.
Start vs BrannxG for / against Brann: 1.15 / 2.22
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Lillestrom
Reported absences
E. B. GarnasMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
C. JebaraMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Brann
Reported absences
J. SorensenMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
S. OpsahlMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
S. TronstadMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
U. MathisenMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
K. KjartanssonMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
N. BoakyeMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Lillestrom
2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 22 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eliteserien
Position 6
Points / played
36 / 23
Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.
Brann
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 22 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eliteserien
Position 7
Points / played
29 / 23
Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Brann 2–1 LillestromEliteserien · UTC
Lillestrom 0–2 BrannEliteserien · UTC
Lillestrom 0–2 BrannEliteserien · UTC
Brann 2–2 LillestromEliteserien · UTC
Brann 2–0 LillestromNM Cupen · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 25 Oct 2026 04:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.