Eliteserien · 25 Oct 2026

Start vs SandefjordMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 10:41 UTC. Source synced 25 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 05 Jul 2026 14:56 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Start

LWWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Start scored 10 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Start 2–4 Ham-KamEliteserien · UTC
  2. Start 2–1 BrannFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Start 2–0 BrannEliteserien · UTC
  4. Start 4–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien · UTC
  5. Start 0–1 FredrikstadEliteserien · UTC

Away matches

Sandefjord

DLWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
20 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Sandefjord scored 20 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Rosenborg 1–1 SandefjordEliteserien · UTC
  2. Bodo/Glimt 3–2 SandefjordEliteserien · UTC
  3. Home team 0–15 SandefjordNM Cupen · UTC
  4. Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 SandefjordEliteserien · UTC
  5. Fredrikstad 1–0 SandefjordEliteserien · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Start

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.22 / 4.03
xG per match, for / against
2.11 / 2.01
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Start vs Ham-Kam xG for / against Start: 2.00 / 2.88 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC.
  2. Start vs Brann xG for / against Start: 2.22 / 1.15 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC.

Away matches

Sandefjord

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.17 / 8.20
xG per match, for / against
1.06 / 2.73
Goals on this same sample
5 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Rosenborg vs Sandefjord xG for / against Sandefjord: 0.38 / 2.70 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 06:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 06:15 UTC.
  2. Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord xG for / against Sandefjord: 1.01 / 3.16 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC.
  3. Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord xG for / against Sandefjord: 1.78 / 2.34 Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 10:19 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 10:19 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Start

Reported absences

  • F. ManojlovicMissing Fixture · Hand Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • E. SegbergMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • K. TonnesenMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • J. HuseboMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sandefjord

Reported absences

  • E. HadayaQuestionable · Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • M. MelchiorMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • D. KoswalMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • N. MollerMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.
  • F. Loftesnes-BjuneMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 25 Oct 2026 02:54 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Start

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eliteserien
Position 16
Points / played
16 / 23

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Sandefjord

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eliteserien
Position 13
Points / played
24 / 23

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Sandefjord 3–2 StartFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Start 1–0 SandefjordFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 25 Oct 2026 04:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1494690
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
3728f920400fe8d7a8442ca9df460ff6f094cc1e7805e1b79d6827510c97a63e