Damallsvenskan · 15 Nov 2026

Häcken W vs Piteå WMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
50%
Draw
50%
Away win
0%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 14 Nov 2026 19:32 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 14 Nov 2026 16:15 UTC; synced 14 Nov 2026 19:32 UTC. Saved 15 Nov 2026 01:01 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
1.06
Without margin
83.85%
Provider estimate
50.00%
Provider − market
-33.85 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
8.2
Without margin
10.84%
Provider estimate
50.00%
Provider − market
+39.16 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
16.75
Without margin
5.31%
Provider estimate
0.00%
Provider − market
-5.31 pp

Raw implied probability total: 112.50%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Häcken W

DWWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
16 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Häcken W scored 16 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Häcken W 0–0 Chelsea WUEFA Champions League Women · UTC
  2. Häcken W 4–1 Kristianstad WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  3. Häcken W 3–0 Hammarby WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  4. Häcken W 9–0 Uppsala WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  5. Häcken W 0–3 Juventus WUEFA Champions League Women · UTC

Away matches

Piteå W

WLWLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Piteå W scored 12 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Vittsjö W 0–2 Piteå WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  2. Djurgården W 3–2 Piteå WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  3. Sunnanå W 0–6 Piteå WSvenska Cupen - Women · UTC
  4. Rosengård W 1–0 Piteå WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  5. Kristianstad W 2–2 Piteå WDamallsvenskan · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Häcken W

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.42 / 2.18
xG per match, for / against
0.42 / 2.18
Goals on this same sample
0 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Häcken W vs Chelsea W xG for / against Häcken W: 0.42 / 2.18 Statistics synced: team 13 Nov 2026 17:54 UTC; opponent 13 Nov 2026 17:54 UTC.

Away matches

Piteå W

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Häcken W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Piteå W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Häcken W

4.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Nov 2026 17:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Damallsvenskan Women
Position 1
Points / played
68 / 25

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 00:30 UTC.

Piteå W

8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 07 Nov 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Damallsvenskan Women
Position 10
Points / played
28 / 25

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 00:30 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Piteå W 1–4 Häcken WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  2. Häcken W 1–0 Piteå WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  3. Piteå W 0–5 Häcken WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  4. Piteå W 0–0 Häcken WDamallsvenskan · UTC
  5. Häcken W 0–1 Piteå WSvenska Cupen - Women · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 15 Nov 2026 01:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1495608
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
eed16c52d323552af83b029bd48b4e877fd16e346171bba2a10208d200eb1d0b