Liga 3 · 16 Oct 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs WIT GeorgiaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 16 Oct 2026 19:50 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 19:49 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.635 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
35%
Draw
35%
Away win
30%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 15 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Dinamo Tbilisi II

DWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Dinamo Tbilisi II scored 10 and conceded 11 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dinamo Tbilisi II 1–1 Lokomotivi TbilisiLiga 3 · UTC
  2. Dinamo Tbilisi II 4–3 Iberia 2010Liga 3 · UTC
  3. Dinamo Tbilisi II 1–5 SpaeriDavid Kipiani Cup · UTC
  4. Dinamo Tbilisi II 4–1 GardabaniLiga 3 · UTC
  5. Dinamo Tbilisi II 0–1 Merani TbilisiLiga 3 · UTC

Away matches

WIT Georgia

LDLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

WIT Georgia scored 12 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. FC Iberia 1999 II 3–0 WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 · UTC
  2. Iveria Khashuri 2–2 WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 · UTC
  3. Kolkheti Khobi 3–2 WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 · UTC
  4. Gardabani 0–5 WIT GeorgiaLiga 3 · UTC
  5. Home team 0–3 WIT GeorgiaDavid Kipiani Cup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Dinamo Tbilisi II

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

WIT Georgia

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Dinamo Tbilisi II

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

WIT Georgia

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Dinamo Tbilisi II

29.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Liga 3
Position 9
Points / played
32 / 23

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 00:26 UTC.

WIT Georgia

8.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 08 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Liga 3
Position 5
Points / played
38 / 23

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 00:26 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. WIT Georgia 3–2 Dinamo Tbilisi IILiga 3 · UTC
  2. Dinamo Tbilisi II 2–1 WIT GeorgiaErovnuli Liga 2 · UTC
  3. WIT Georgia 0–1 Dinamo Tbilisi IIErovnuli Liga 2 · UTC
  4. Dinamo Tbilisi II 2–0 WIT GeorgiaErovnuli Liga 2 · UTC
  5. WIT Georgia 1–2 Dinamo Tbilisi IIErovnuli Liga 2 · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 16 Oct 2026 00:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1507458
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
dc1e8edd4a17465a4c33927da24b709b3959dbcd4c08f0835ddfed04efb09a44