Primera B · 16 Oct 2026

Santiago Wanderers vs Rangers de TalcaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 4–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 17 Oct 2026 07:30 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.635 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
35%
Draw
35%
Away win
30%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 15 Oct 2026 23:45 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Santiago Wanderers

LWDDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Santiago Wanderers scored 5 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Santiago Wanderers 1–2 Curico UnidoPrimera B · UTC
  2. Santiago Wanderers 2–1 MagallanesPrimera B · UTC
  3. Santiago Wanderers 1–1 D. Puerto MonttPrimera B · UTC
  4. Santiago Wanderers 1–1 San Marcos de AricaPrimera B · UTC
  5. Santiago Wanderers 0–4 Union La CaleraCopa Chile · UTC

Away matches

Rangers de Talca

LWWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Rangers de Talca scored 7 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Antofagasta 2–0 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  2. D. Puerto Montt 1–2 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  3. Union Espanola 0–1 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  4. San Marcos de Arica 1–2 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  5. Recoleta 4–2 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Santiago Wanderers

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Rangers de Talca

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Santiago Wanderers

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Rangers de Talca

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Santiago Wanderers

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera B
Position 5
Points / played
44 / 27

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 01:19 UTC.

Rangers de Talca

4.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 12 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera B
Position 16
Points / played
21 / 27

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 01:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Rangers de Talca 0–2 Santiago WanderersPrimera B · UTC
  2. Santiago Wanderers 0–0 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  3. Rangers de Talca 3–3 Santiago WanderersPrimera B · UTC
  4. Santiago Wanderers 4–0 Rangers de TalcaPrimera B · UTC
  5. Rangers de Talca 1–0 Santiago WanderersPrimera B · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 16 Oct 2026 01:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1511711
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
2bf5558079804bdfd5a7eadb55fab52963e663275d07a5f2b2a655dbb87a3d2a