Youth Championship · 09 Oct 2026

Dinamo Moskva U19 vs Rodina Moscow U19Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–3 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 09 Oct 2026 20:21 UTC. Source synced 09 Oct 2026 20:19 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Away win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 08 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Dinamo Moskva U19

LLWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Dinamo Moskva U19 scored 11 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dinamo Moskva U19 2–4 CSKA Moskva U19Youth Championship · UTC
  2. Dinamo Moskva U19 1–2 Akademiya Konoplev U20Youth Championship · UTC
  3. Dinamo Moskva U19 3–0 Nizhny Novgorod U19Youth Championship · UTC
  4. Dinamo Moskva U19 1–2 Lokomotiv Moskva U19Youth Championship · UTC
  5. Dinamo Moskva U19 4–1 Dynamo Makhachkala U19Youth Championship · UTC

Away matches

Rodina Moscow U19

LLWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Rodina Moscow U19 scored 10 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Almaz Antey U19 3–2 Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · UTC
  2. Spartak Moskva U19 3–1 Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · UTC
  3. Rubin Kazan U20 0–1 Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · UTC
  4. Zenit U19 2–2 Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · UTC
  5. Akademiya Konoplev U20 1–4 Rodina Moscow U19Youth Championship · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Dinamo Moskva U19

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Rodina Moscow U19

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Dinamo Moskva U19

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Rodina Moscow U19

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Dinamo Moskva U19

21.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Sep 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Youth Championship
Position 10
Points / played
29 / 24

Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC.

Rodina Moscow U19

21.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Sep 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Youth Championship
Position 4
Points / played
48 / 24

Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Rodina Moscow U19 2–0 Dinamo Moskva U19Youth Championship · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 09 Oct 2026 00:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1519165
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
0826f80fb7734bac30ae5088b18a54d60fa6048d847cbb41b1c171c65e1f5240