Serie B · 23 Oct 2026

Operario-PR vs Athletic ClubMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–0 · regulation time

Result record v3 · recorded 25 Oct 2026 14:30 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 22:38 UTC.

Result changes (2)
  1. v1 · 1H Initial source observation · 23 Oct 2026 23:01 UTC Source synced 23 Oct 2026 23:01 UTC · source kickoff 23 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC
  2. v2 · 2H Source status, score or kickoff changed · 24 Oct 2026 17:11 UTC Source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC · source kickoff 23 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC
  3. v3 · FT · 1–0 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 25 Oct 2026 14:30 UTC Source synced 24 Oct 2026 22:38 UTC · source kickoff 23 Oct 2026 22:30 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 19 Oct 2026 18:01 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Operario-PR

LDWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Operario-PR scored 7 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Operario-PR 1–2 Botafogo SPSerie B · UTC
  2. Operario-PR 2–2 CearaSerie B · UTC
  3. Operario-PR 3–0 CRBSerie B · UTC
  4. Operario-PR 0–0 Vila NovaSerie B · UTC
  5. Operario-PR 1–2 AvaiSerie B · UTC

Away matches

Athletic Club

DLDWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Athletic Club scored 5 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Avai 0–0 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC
  2. Goias 2–1 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC
  3. Fortaleza EC 2–2 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC
  4. Juventude 0–2 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC
  5. Cuiaba 3–0 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Operario-PR

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.56 / 0.68
xG per match, for / against
0.56 / 0.68
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP xG for / against Operario-PR: 0.56 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 09:05 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 09:05 UTC.

Away matches

Athletic Club

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.80 / 2.72
xG per match, for / against
0.90 / 1.36
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Avai vs Athletic Club xG for / against Athletic Club: 0.11 / 1.06 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.
  2. Goias vs Athletic Club xG for / against Athletic Club: 1.69 / 1.66 Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 20:05 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 20:05 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Operario-PR

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Athletic Club

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Operario-PR

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 21:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 10
Points / played
48 / 34

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 01:17 UTC.

Athletic Club

5.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 14
Points / played
44 / 34

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 01:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Athletic Club 0–1 Operario-PRSerie B · UTC
  2. Operario-PR 1–4 Athletic ClubSerie B · UTC
  3. Athletic Club 2–1 Operario-PRSerie B · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 23 Oct 2026 01:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1520946
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
cc8596936cd73aa005dcc52f21e7eedca35f5f71a3c41bb5693d520a9cc37d2f