Serie B · 31 Oct 2026

Botafogo SP vs Sport RecifeMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 10:10 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 26 Oct 2026 15:32 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Botafogo SP

WLWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Botafogo SP scored 5 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Botafogo SP 1–0 CearaSerie B · UTC
  2. Botafogo SP 0–1 Vila NovaSerie B · UTC
  3. Botafogo SP 2–0 Ponte PretaSerie B · UTC
  4. Botafogo SP 1–3 GoiasSerie B · UTC
  5. Botafogo SP 1–3 NovorizontinoSerie B · UTC

Away matches

Sport Recife

DWLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Sport Recife scored 6 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  2. Athletic Club 1–2 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  3. Nautico Recife 3–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  4. CRB 2–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  5. Ceara 2–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Botafogo SP

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.64 / 1.49
xG per match, for / against
1.21 / 0.50
Goals on this same sample
3 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Botafogo SP vs Ceara xG for / against Botafogo SP: 0.86 / 0.50 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 07:34 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 07:34 UTC.
  2. Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova xG for / against Botafogo SP: 1.14 / 0.22 Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC.
  3. Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta xG for / against Botafogo SP: 1.64 / 0.77 Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC.

Away matches

Sport Recife

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.43 / 3.77
xG per match, for / against
1.22 / 1.88
Goals on this same sample
3 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife xG for / against Sport Recife: 1.84 / 2.03 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 19:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 19:35 UTC.
  2. Athletic Club vs Sport Recife xG for / against Sport Recife: 0.59 / 1.74 Statistics synced: team 15 Oct 2026 23:34 UTC; opponent 15 Oct 2026 23:34 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Botafogo SP

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sport Recife

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Botafogo SP

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 12
Points / played
47 / 35

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 05:18 UTC.

Sport Recife

7.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 00:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 7
Points / played
54 / 35

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 05:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SPSerie B · UTC
  2. Sport Recife 3–1 Botafogo SPSerie B · UTC
  3. Botafogo SP 1–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  4. Botafogo SP 1–1 Sport RecifeSerie B · UTC
  5. Sport Recife 3–0 Botafogo SPSerie B · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 06:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1520951
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
adcaff4163f741ec3d35e165db043cd261cb1731107c4bb797ee0475f0876d7e