Super League · 09 Oct 2026

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing GuoanMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–3 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 09 Oct 2026 14:50 UTC. Source synced 09 Oct 2026 14:49 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 03 Oct 2026 22:46 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Qingdao Jonoon

LLLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Qingdao Jonoon scored 6 and conceded 11 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Qingdao Jonoon 1–5 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League · UTC
  2. Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League · UTC
  3. Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League · UTC
  4. Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League · UTC
  5. Qingdao Jonoon 4–2 Yunnan YukunSuper League · UTC

Away matches

Beijing Guoan

DDWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Beijing Guoan scored 9 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. SHANGHAI SIPG 0–0 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
  2. Dalian Zhixing 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
  3. Tianjin Teda 2–4 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
  4. Chengdu Better City 2–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
  5. Dalian Kewei 1–2 Beijing GuoanFA Cup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Qingdao Jonoon

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.49 / 2.15
xG per match, for / against
1.49 / 2.15
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Qingdao Jonoon vs Chengdu Better City xG for / against Qingdao Jonoon: 1.49 / 2.15 Statistics synced: team 08 Jul 2026 10:19 UTC; opponent 08 Jul 2026 10:19 UTC.

Away matches

Beijing Guoan

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Qingdao Jonoon

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Beijing Guoan

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Qingdao Jonoon

34 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 05 Sep 2026 11:35 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super League
Position 16
Points / played
14 / 26

Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Beijing Guoan

24 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 15 Sep 2026 12:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super League
Position 3
Points / played
38 / 26

Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Beijing Guoan 4–2 Qingdao JonoonSuper League · UTC
  2. Beijing Guoan 2–4 Qingdao JonoonSuper League · UTC
  3. Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
  4. Beijing Guoan 6–0 Qingdao JonoonSuper League · UTC
  5. Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 09 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1523271
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
1a7974c43508072799a8063aacfc817485cee0117a0f3d1201c8f8b437caad97