Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–4· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 17:11 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 17:09 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 19 Oct 2026 22:59 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Henan Jianye
LDDDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
2 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
0/5 0%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Henan Jianye scored 2 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Henan Jianye 0–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League · UTC
Henan Jianye 0–0 Chengdu Better CitySuper League · UTC
Henan Jianye 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League · UTC
Henan Jianye 0–0 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League · UTC
Henan Jianye 1–1 Dalian ZhixingSuper League · UTC
Away matches
Beijing Guoan
WWDDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Beijing Guoan scored 9 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Buriram United 0–1 Beijing GuoanAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
Qingdao Jonoon 0–3 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
SHANGHAI SIPG 0–0 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
Dalian Zhixing 1–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
Tianjin Teda 2–4 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Henan Jianye
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.65 / 0.43
xG per match, for / against
0.65 / 0.43
Goals on this same sample
0 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Henan Jianye vs Tianjin TedaxG for / against Henan Jianye: 0.65 / 0.43
Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 11:55 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 11:55 UTC.
Away matches
Beijing Guoan
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.64 / 1.00
xG per match, for / against
0.64 / 1.00
Goals on this same sample
1 / 0
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Buriram United vs Beijing GuoanxG for / against Beijing Guoan: 0.64 / 1.00
Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 07:34 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 07:34 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Henan Jianye
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Beijing Guoan
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Henan Jianye
7.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 11:35 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Super League
Position 14
Points / played
28 / 28
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.
Beijing Guoan
5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Super League
Position 3
Points / played
44 / 28
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Beijing Guoan 1–2 Henan JianyeSuper League · UTC
Beijing Guoan 3–0 Henan JianyeFA Cup · UTC
Henan Jianye 2–0 Beijing GuoanSuper League · UTC
Beijing Guoan 1–0 Henan JianyeSuper League · UTC
Beijing Guoan 1–1 Henan JianyeSuper League · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.