Super League · 24 Oct 2026

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong LunengMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–5 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 17:11 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 17:09 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 19 Oct 2026 22:59 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Wuhan Three Towns

LDDLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Wuhan Three Towns scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Wuhan Three Towns 1–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League · UTC
  2. Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League · UTC
  3. Wuhan Three Towns 0–0 Tianjin TedaSuper League · UTC
  4. Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League · UTC
  5. Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League · UTC

Away matches

Shandong Luneng

DWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Shandong Luneng scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC
  2. Shanghai Shenhua 2–3 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC
  3. Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC
  4. SHANGHAI SIPG 0–1 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC
  5. Dalian Zhixing 3–1 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Wuhan Three Towns

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.22 / 4.18
xG per match, for / against
2.22 / 4.18
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua xG for / against Wuhan Three Towns: 2.22 / 4.18 Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 21:45 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 21:45 UTC.

Away matches

Shandong Luneng

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.72 / 0.09
xG per match, for / against
0.72 / 0.09
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng xG for / against Shandong Luneng: 0.72 / 0.09 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 11:56 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 11:56 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Wuhan Three Towns

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Shandong Luneng

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Wuhan Three Towns

5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super League
Position 15
Points / played
22 / 28

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Shandong Luneng

6.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super League
Position 4
Points / played
41 / 28

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Shandong Luneng 3–3 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League · UTC
  2. Wuhan Three Towns 1–5 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC
  3. Shandong Luneng 3–1 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League · UTC
  4. Shandong Luneng 0–0 Wuhan Three TownsSuper League · UTC
  5. Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Shandong LunengSuper League · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1523290
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
2451f7954f090840eea89173c1bbd3086530f6409f58e63b3de04da9db4f0714