League One · 24 Oct 2026

Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi HengchenMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 17:21 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 17:19 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 22 Oct 2026 23:45 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 23 Oct 2026 12:41 UTC; synced 23 Oct 2026 13:38 UTC. Saved 24 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
3.58
Without margin
24.89%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Draw

Decimal odds
3.64
Without margin
24.48%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Away win

Decimal odds
1.76
Without margin
50.63%
Provider estimate
N/A
Provider − market
N/A

Raw implied probability total: 112.22%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Dalian Huayi

DWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Dalian Huayi scored 9 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dalian Huayi 1–1 Changchun YataiLeague One · UTC
  2. Dalian Huayi 1–0 Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One · UTC
  3. Dalian Huayi 3–2 Nantong ZhiyunLeague One · UTC
  4. Dalian Huayi 2–1 Wuxi WugouLeague One · UTC
  5. Dalian Huayi 2–2 Shaanxi UnionLeague One · UTC

Away matches

Guangxi Hengchen

LWWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Guangxi Hengchen scored 7 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dongguan United 1–0 Guangxi HengchenLeague One · UTC
  2. Nantong Zhiyun 0–1 Guangxi HengchenLeague One · UTC
  3. Nanjing City 0–2 Guangxi HengchenLeague One · UTC
  4. Guangzhou E-Power 2–0 Guangxi HengchenLeague One · UTC
  5. Ningbo Professional 2–4 Guangxi HengchenLeague One · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Dalian Huayi

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Guangxi Hengchen

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Dalian Huayi

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Guangxi Hengchen

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Dalian Huayi

6.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League One
Position 11
Points / played
31 / 27

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Guangxi Hengchen

6.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 11:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League One
Position 3
Points / played
47 / 27

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Guangxi Hengchen 3–1 Dalian HuayiLeague One · UTC
  2. Guangxi Hengchen 0–2 Dalian HuayiLeague Two · UTC
  3. Dalian Huayi 1–0 Guangxi HengchenLeague Two · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1528742
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
af99db88e34466d911c1284646b87a113043b7d240e646396a052ae01bcfbc23