Supreme Division Women · 24 Oct 2026

Krylya Sovetov W vs Zenit WMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 17:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.500 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Away win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
0%
Draw
50%
Away win
50%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 00:00 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Krylya Sovetov W

DWLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Krylya Sovetov W scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Krylya Sovetov W 0–0 Lokomotiv Moskva WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. Krylya Sovetov W 2–1 Ryazan WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. Krylya Sovetov W 0–1 Dinamo Moskva WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. Krylya Sovetov W 1–1 Chertanovo WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. Krylya Sovetov W 2–0 Rubin Kazan WSupreme Division Women · UTC

Away matches

Zenit W

WWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 1
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Zenit W scored 10 and conceded 1 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Spartak Moskva W 0–1 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. Rubin Kazan W 0–3 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. Ryazan W 0–3 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. Zvezda Perm W 1–3 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. CSKA Moskva W 0–0 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Krylya Sovetov W

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Zenit W

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Krylya Sovetov W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Zenit W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Krylya Sovetov W

5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Supreme Division Women
Position 6
Points / played
32 / 20

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:22 UTC.

Zenit W

5.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Supreme Division Women
Position 1
Points / played
53 / 20

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:22 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Zenit W 5–1 Krylya Sovetov WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. Krylya Sovetov W 0–0 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. Zenit W 0–0 Krylya Sovetov WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. Krylya Sovetov W 1–2 Zenit WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. Zenit W 2–0 Krylya Sovetov WSupreme Division Women · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1530023
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
8481d2b42a007c9475b9ffdc65f8ac5565d6ede9ec9a292e483884da098ed6a7