Supreme Division Women · 30 Oct 2026

CSKA Moskva W vs Krasnodar WMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 4–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 31 Oct 2026 08:40 UTC. Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 29 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

CSKA Moskva W

WWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 2
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

CSKA Moskva W scored 13 and conceded 2 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. CSKA Moskva W 2–0 Ryazan WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. CSKA Moskva W 1–0 Yenisey WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. CSKA Moskva W 4–1 Rubin Kazan WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. CSKA Moskva W 4–1 Krylya Sovetov WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. CSKA Moskva W 2–0 Rostov WSupreme Division Women · UTC

Away matches

Krasnodar W

DDLDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Krasnodar W scored 3 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Rostov W 0–0 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. Chertanovo W 1–1 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. Zenit W 3–1 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. Ryazan W 0–0 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. Zvezda Perm W 2–1 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

CSKA Moskva W

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Krasnodar W

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

CSKA Moskva W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Krasnodar W

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

CSKA Moskva W

6.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Supreme Division Women
Position 2
Points / played
55 / 21

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 00:23 UTC.

Krasnodar W

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Supreme Division Women
Position 10
Points / played
17 / 21

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 00:23 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Krasnodar W 0–3 CSKA Moskva WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  2. CSKA Moskva W 0–0 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  3. Krasnodar W 1–0 CSKA Moskva WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  4. CSKA Moskva W 0–1 Krasnodar WSupreme Division Women · UTC
  5. Krasnodar W 0–1 CSKA Moskva WSupreme Division Women · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1530029
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
1cab7a8f6a9b9986c2b79dc96c823c6961843ccec4b53ad66a731eacb3c80310