HNL · 24 Oct 2026

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven BelupoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 17:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

NK Varazdin

DDWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 1
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

NK Varazdin scored 6 and conceded 1 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. NK Varazdin 0–0 NK OsijekHNL · UTC
  2. NK Varazdin 0–0 Istra 1961HNL · UTC
  3. NK Varazdin 2–0 RudesHNL · UTC
  4. NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK RijekaHNL · UTC
  5. NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL · UTC

Away matches

NK Slaven Belupo

LDLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

NK Slaven Belupo scored 8 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 NK Slaven BelupoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Rudes 2–2 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC
  3. HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC
  4. Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–5 NK Slaven BelupoCup · UTC
  5. NK Osijek 3–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

NK Varazdin

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.39 / 2.91
xG per match, for / against
1.35 / 0.73
Goals on this same sample
6 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek xG for / against NK Varazdin: 0.81 / 0.59 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC.
  2. NK Varazdin vs Rudes xG for / against NK Varazdin: 1.93 / 0.36 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
  3. NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka xG for / against NK Varazdin: 1.75 / 0.69 Statistics synced: team 16 Aug 2026 18:33 UTC; opponent 16 Aug 2026 18:33 UTC.
  4. NK Varazdin vs HNK Hajduk Split xG for / against NK Varazdin: 0.90 / 1.27 Statistics synced: team 03 Aug 2026 04:21 UTC; opponent 03 Aug 2026 04:21 UTC.

Away matches

NK Slaven Belupo

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.23 / 2.59
xG per match, for / against
1.08 / 0.86
Goals on this same sample
2 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 1.99 / 0.48 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 18:19 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 18:19 UTC.
  2. HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 0.36 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:09 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:09 UTC.
  3. NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 0.88 / 1.43 Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

NK Varazdin

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

NK Slaven Belupo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

NK Varazdin

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

HNL
Position 3
Points / played
18 / 10

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

NK Slaven Belupo

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

HNL
Position 8
Points / played
10 / 10

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1548551
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
e1fac7fe3940a26c0a415506f47ec544d765e52ffb744406ac0ecf1d3e074386