Primera A · 29 Oct 2026

America de Cali vs Fortaleza FCMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–1 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 31 Oct 2026 09:20 UTC. Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC.

Source kickoff changed to 29 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC. The original publication retains its scheduled kickoff.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 30 Oct 2026 09:21 UTC Source synced 30 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC · source kickoff 29 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 2–1 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 31 Oct 2026 09:20 UTC Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC · source kickoff 29 Oct 2026 23:30 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

America de Cali

WLWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

America de Cali scored 9 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. America de Cali 3–1 CucutaPrimera A · UTC
  2. America de Cali 1–2 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
  3. America de Cali 1–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A · UTC
  4. America de Cali 0–1 Deportivo PastoPrimera A · UTC
  5. America de Cali 4–1 Deportivo PereiraCopa Colombia · UTC

Away matches

Fortaleza FC

LDDDD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Fortaleza FC scored 5 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Internacional de Bogota 2–1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
  2. Deportivo Pasto 0–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
  3. Jaguares 2–2 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
  4. Santa Fe 2–2 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
  5. Chico 0–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

America de Cali

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.86 / 2.95
xG per match, for / against
0.97 / 0.74
Goals on this same sample
5 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. America de Cali vs Cucuta xG for / against America de Cali: 1.05 / 0.97 Statistics synced: team 26 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC; opponent 26 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC.
  2. America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin xG for / against America de Cali: 0.60 / 0.94 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC.
  3. America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas xG for / against America de Cali: 1.83 / 0.39 Statistics synced: team 08 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC; opponent 08 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC.
  4. America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto xG for / against America de Cali: 0.38 / 0.65 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 10:30 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 10:30 UTC.

Away matches

Fortaleza FC

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.94 / 1.41
xG per match, for / against
0.97 / 0.71
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC xG for / against Fortaleza FC: 1.79 / 0.41 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 23:45 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 23:45 UTC.
  2. Chico vs Fortaleza FC xG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.15 / 1.00 Statistics synced: team 26 Aug 2026 23:02 UTC; opponent 26 Aug 2026 23:02 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

America de Cali

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Fortaleza FC

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

America de Cali

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 23:05 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 4
Points / played
33 / 19

Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Clausura
Position 2
Points / played
31 / 15

Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Fortaleza FC

4.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 15
Points / played
22 / 19

Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Clausura
Position 19
Points / played
12 / 15

Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 29 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1549723
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
d8ba6e9200eb041429eab21942d02985563bedb630d79b98157998ccf2bcc2ba