Primera A · 21 Oct 2026

Llaneros vs Deportivo CaliMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–3 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 23 Oct 2026 06:30 UTC. Source synced 22 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 22 Oct 2026 13:21 UTC Source synced 22 Oct 2026 01:09 UTC · source kickoff 21 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 0–3 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 23 Oct 2026 06:30 UTC Source synced 22 Oct 2026 23:37 UTC · source kickoff 21 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Llaneros

WLWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Llaneros scored 5 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Llaneros 1–0 Santa FePrimera A · UTC
  2. Llaneros 1–2 America de CaliPrimera A · UTC
  3. Llaneros 2–0 Atletico NacionalPrimera A · UTC
  4. Llaneros 1–2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A · UTC
  5. Llaneros 0–2 MillonariosPrimera A · UTC

Away matches

Deportivo Cali

DWWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Deportivo Cali scored 4 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  2. Santa Fe 0–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  3. Once Caldas 1–2 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  4. Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo CaliCopa Colombia · UTC
  5. Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Llaneros

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.61 / 2.52
xG per match, for / against
1.31 / 1.26
Goals on this same sample
3 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Llaneros vs Santa Fe xG for / against Llaneros: 1.78 / 1.34 Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC.
  2. Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional xG for / against Llaneros: 0.83 / 1.18 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC.

Away matches

Deportivo Cali

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.83 / 2.98
xG per match, for / against
0.46 / 0.75
Goals on this same sample
4 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.78 / 0.48 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC.
  2. Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.41 / 1.19 Statistics synced: team 07 Oct 2026 02:25 UTC; opponent 07 Oct 2026 02:25 UTC.
  3. Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.34 / 0.39 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 09:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 09:29 UTC.
  4. Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.30 / 0.92 Statistics synced: team 27 Aug 2026 03:32 UTC; opponent 27 Aug 2026 03:32 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Llaneros

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Deportivo Cali

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Llaneros

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 23:05 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 14
Points / played
22 / 19

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Clausura
Position 12
Points / played
17 / 14

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Deportivo Cali

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 19 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 9
Points / played
27 / 19

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Clausura
Position 3
Points / played
26 / 14

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 21 Oct 2026 00:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1549770
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
bfeae1aee67875d15eca39fcce63ba2770276b73cff72a14e8771f2c9624a678