Primera A · 25 Oct 2026

Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo CaliMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 13:31 UTC. Source synced 25 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Fortaleza FC

DDLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Fortaleza FC scored 6 and conceded 11 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Fortaleza FC 1–1 MillonariosPrimera A · UTC
  2. Fortaleza FC 2–2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A · UTC
  3. Fortaleza FC 1–4 JuniorPrimera A · UTC
  4. Fortaleza FC 1–2 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
  5. Fortaleza FC 1–2 Atletico NacionalPrimera A · UTC

Away matches

Deportivo Cali

WDWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Deportivo Cali scored 6 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Llaneros 0–3 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  2. Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  3. Santa Fe 0–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  4. Once Caldas 1–2 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
  5. Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo CaliCopa Colombia · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Fortaleza FC

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.81 / 4.01
xG per match, for / against
0.60 / 1.34
Goals on this same sample
4 / 8

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Fortaleza FC vs Deportes Tolima xG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.67 / 0.26 Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 19:36 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 19:36 UTC.
  2. Fortaleza FC vs Junior xG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.77 / 1.82 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 06:54 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 06:54 UTC.
  3. Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional xG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.37 / 1.93 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC.

Away matches

Deportivo Cali

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.98 / 2.68
xG per match, for / against
0.50 / 0.67
Goals on this same sample
6 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.45 / 0.62 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 23:44 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 23:44 UTC.
  2. Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.78 / 0.48 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:55 UTC.
  3. Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.41 / 1.19 Statistics synced: team 07 Oct 2026 02:25 UTC; opponent 07 Oct 2026 02:25 UTC.
  4. Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali xG for / against Deportivo Cali: 0.34 / 0.39 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 09:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 09:29 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Fortaleza FC

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Deportivo Cali

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Fortaleza FC

4.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 20 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 15
Points / played
22 / 19

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Clausura
Position 18
Points / played
11 / 14

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Deportivo Cali

3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 21 Oct 2026 23:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 9
Points / played
27 / 19

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Clausura
Position 3
Points / played
29 / 15

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 04:21 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 25 Oct 2026 05:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1549838
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
61ebe7ec73ba33dca79b52e22fae089fd83001564ddfe44699133aa414c1c2dc