Primera A · 07 Nov 2026

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo PereiraMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Atletico Nacional

WWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Atletico Nacional scored 10 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atletico Nacional 2–0 Santa FePrimera A · UTC
  2. Atletico Nacional 2–1 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
  3. Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A · UTC
  4. Atletico Nacional 3–2 Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia · UTC
  5. Atletico Nacional 0–0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A · UTC

Away matches

Deportivo Pereira

DDLDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Deportivo Pereira scored 5 and conceded 12 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Once Caldas 1–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A · UTC
  2. Junior 1–1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A · UTC
  3. Cucuta 4–0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A · UTC
  4. Águilas Doradas 2–2 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A · UTC
  5. America de Cali 4–1 Deportivo PereiraCopa Colombia · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Atletico Nacional

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.48 / 1.99
xG per match, for / against
1.16 / 0.66
Goals on this same sample
7 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe xG for / against Atletico Nacional: 0.53 / 0.26 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 01:34 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 01:34 UTC.
  2. Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin xG for / against Atletico Nacional: 1.69 / 1.58 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 01:45 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 01:45 UTC.
  3. Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto xG for / against Atletico Nacional: 1.26 / 0.15 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 01:05 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 01:05 UTC.

Away matches

Deportivo Pereira

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.55 / 4.43
xG per match, for / against
0.52 / 1.48
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira xG for / against Deportivo Pereira: 0.43 / 2.07 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 14:45 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 14:45 UTC.
  2. Junior vs Deportivo Pereira xG for / against Deportivo Pereira: 0.15 / 1.39 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 19:25 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 19:25 UTC.
  3. Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira xG for / against Deportivo Pereira: 0.97 / 0.97 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 21:17 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 21:17 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Atletico Nacional

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Deportivo Pereira

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Atletico Nacional

4.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 01:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 1
Points / played
40 / 19

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 05:18 UTC.

Clausura
Position 1
Points / played
36 / 17

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 05:18 UTC.

Deportivo Pereira

4.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 20:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 20
Points / played
10 / 19

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 05:18 UTC.

Clausura
Position 16
Points / played
17 / 17

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 05:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 05:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1549855
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
2286972b260070951dd6ac2c3c890a11cea2860b060b7fdb1d7b3596192b6880