Fortaleza FC vs Independiente MedellinMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Awaiting confirmed result.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 07 Nov 2026 00:09 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Fortaleza FC
DDDLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
Fortaleza FC scored 6 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Fortaleza FC 1–1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A · UTC
Fortaleza FC 1–1 MillonariosPrimera A · UTC
Fortaleza FC 2–2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A · UTC
Fortaleza FC 1–4 JuniorPrimera A · UTC
Fortaleza FC 1–2 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
Away matches
Independiente Medellin
LLLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Independiente Medellin scored 6 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Internacional de Bogota 3–1 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 2–1 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 3–2 Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia · UTC
America de Cali 1–2 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
Junior 2–0 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Fortaleza FC
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.18 / 3.34
xG per match, for / against
0.73 / 1.11
Goals on this same sample
4 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo CalixG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.74 / 1.26
Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 00:45 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 00:45 UTC.
Fortaleza FC vs Deportes TolimaxG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.67 / 0.26
Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 19:36 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 19:36 UTC.
Fortaleza FC vs JuniorxG for / against Fortaleza FC: 0.77 / 1.82
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 06:54 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 06:54 UTC.
Away matches
Independiente Medellin
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.90 / 4.59
xG per match, for / against
1.30 / 1.53
Goals on this same sample
4 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente MedellinxG for / against Independiente Medellin: 1.38 / 2.30
Statistics synced: team 05 Nov 2026 14:15 UTC; opponent 05 Nov 2026 14:15 UTC.
Atletico Nacional vs Independiente MedellinxG for / against Independiente Medellin: 1.58 / 1.69
Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 01:45 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 01:45 UTC.
America de Cali vs Independiente MedellinxG for / against Independiente Medellin: 0.94 / 0.60
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Fortaleza FC
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Independiente Medellin
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Fortaleza FC
4.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 02 Nov 2026 21:05 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Apertura
Position 15
Points / played
22 / 19
Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 23:17 UTC.
Clausura
Position 20
Points / played
12 / 17
Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 23:17 UTC.
Independiente Medellin
5.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 23:10 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Apertura
Position 11
Points / played
26 / 19
Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 23:17 UTC.
Clausura
Position 7
Points / played
26 / 17
Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 23:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia · UTC
Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
Independiente Medellin 3–1 Fortaleza FCPrimera A · UTC
Independiente Medellin 2–1 Fortaleza FCCopa Colombia · UTC
Fortaleza FC 0–0 Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 00:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.