Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.
Recorded match result
Result pending — kickoff has not passed.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 12 Nov 2026 00:15 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Atletico Nacional
WWWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Atletico Nacional scored 14 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Atletico Nacional 4–3 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 2–0 Santa FePrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 2–1 Independiente MedellinPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 3–2 Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia · UTC
Away matches
Once Caldas
WDWDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
0/5 0%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Once Caldas scored 6 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Santa Fe 0–2 Once CaldasCopa Colombia · UTC
Millonarios 1–1 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
Independiente Medellin 0–2 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
Internacional de Bogota 1–1 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Once CaldasPrimera A · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Atletico Nacional
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.03 / 3.31
xG per match, for / against
1.26 / 0.83
Goals on this same sample
11 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo PereiraxG for / against Atletico Nacional: 1.55 / 1.32
Statistics synced: team 11 Nov 2026 14:44 UTC; opponent 11 Nov 2026 14:44 UTC.
Atletico Nacional vs Santa FexG for / against Atletico Nacional: 0.53 / 0.26
Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 01:34 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 01:34 UTC.
Atletico Nacional vs Independiente MedellinxG for / against Atletico Nacional: 1.69 / 1.58
Statistics synced: team 10 Nov 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 10 Nov 2026 19:15 UTC.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo PastoxG for / against Atletico Nacional: 1.26 / 0.15
Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 01:05 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 01:05 UTC.
Away matches
Once Caldas
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.26 / 0.88
xG per match, for / against
1.13 / 0.44
Goals on this same sample
3 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Millonarios vs Once CaldasxG for / against Once Caldas: 1.65 / 0.46
Statistics synced: team 05 Nov 2026 00:25 UTC; opponent 05 Nov 2026 00:25 UTC.
Independiente Medellin vs Once CaldasxG for / against Once Caldas: 0.61 / 0.42
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 11:06 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 11:06 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Atletico Nacional
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Once Caldas
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Atletico Nacional
1.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 11 Nov 2026 01:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Apertura
Position 1
Points / played
40 / 19
Table source synced 12 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.
Clausura
Position 1
Points / played
39 / 18
Table source synced 12 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.
Once Caldas
1.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 11 Nov 2026 01:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Apertura
Position 5
Points / played
33 / 19
Table source synced 12 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.
Clausura
Position 8
Points / played
27 / 18
Table source synced 12 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Once Caldas 1–1 Atletico NacionalCopa Colombia · UTC
Once Caldas 1–0 Atletico NacionalPrimera A · UTC
Atletico Nacional 2–0 Once CaldasCopa Colombia · UTC
Once Caldas 0–1 Atletico NacionalCopa Colombia · UTC
Once Caldas 1–3 Atletico NacionalPrimera A · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 12 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.