Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 21:00 UTC. Source synced 12 Oct 2026 20:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 05 Oct 2026 16:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Atalanta
LWWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Atalanta scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Atalanta 1–2 CagliariSerie A · UTC
Atalanta 1–0 BolognaSerie A · UTC
Atalanta 2–1 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
Atalanta 0–0 Hapoel Tel AvivUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
Atalanta 1–0 Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
Venezia
LLLDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 13
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Venezia scored 8 and conceded 13 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Frosinone 3–2 VeneziaSerie A · UTC
Udinese 2–1 VeneziaCoppa Italia · UTC
AC Milan 2–0 VeneziaSerie A · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 2–2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Saint Etienne 4–3 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Atalanta
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.57 / 5.31
xG per match, for / against
0.86 / 1.77
Goals on this same sample
4 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Atalanta vs CagliarixG for / against Atalanta: 1.74 / 1.32
Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
Atalanta vs BolognaxG for / against Atalanta: 0.16 / 1.29
Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.
Atalanta vs SassuoloxG for / against Atalanta: 0.67 / 2.70
Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.
Away matches
Venezia
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.82 / 2.13
xG per match, for / against
0.82 / 2.13
Goals on this same sample
0 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
AC Milan vs VeneziaxG for / against Venezia: 0.82 / 2.13
Statistics synced: team 29 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC; opponent 29 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Atalanta
Reported absences
G. RaspadoriQuestionable · Thigh Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
O. KossounouMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
I. HienMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
K. SulemanaQuestionable · Knee Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Venezia
Reported absences
A. AdoranteMissing Fixture · Hernia
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
T. BasicQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
B. FranjicMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
A. Bella-KotchapMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
M. SverkoMissing Fixture · Hip Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
P. MazzocchiMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
R. HapsQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
G. BusioMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
M. DagassoQuestionable · Inactive
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Atalanta
22 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 20 Sep 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 11
Points / played
6 / 5
Table source synced 11 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.
Venezia
22.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 20
Points / played
0 / 5
Table source synced 11 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Atalanta 0–0 VeneziaSerie A · UTC
Venezia 0–2 AtalantaSerie A · UTC
Venezia 1–3 AtalantaSerie A · UTC
Atalanta 2–0 VeneziaCoppa Italia · UTC
Atalanta 4–0 VeneziaSerie A · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 11 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.