Serie A · 11 Oct 2026

Cagliari vs JuventusMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 12 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC. Source synced 11 Oct 2026 21:14 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 04 Oct 2026 19:01 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Cagliari

WLLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Cagliari scored 4 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Cagliari 1–0 LecceSerie A · UTC
  2. Cagliari 1–2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia · UTC
  3. Cagliari 0–1 InterSerie A · UTC
  4. Cagliari 1–0 ArezzoCoppa Italia · UTC
  5. Cagliari 1–0 ModenaFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Juventus

LWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Juventus scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sassuolo 3–2 JuventusSerie A · UTC
  2. Frosinone 0–1 JuventusSerie A · UTC
  3. Chelsea 0–1 JuventusFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Standard Liege 0–1 JuventusFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. FC Basel 1893 0–0 JuventusFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Cagliari

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.45 / 3.80
xG per match, for / against
0.45 / 3.80
Goals on this same sample
0 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Cagliari vs Inter xG for / against Cagliari: 0.45 / 3.80 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.

Away matches

Juventus

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.09 / 1.47
xG per match, for / against
1.55 / 0.74
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sassuolo vs Juventus xG for / against Juventus: 1.10 / 1.02 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC.
  2. Frosinone vs Juventus xG for / against Juventus: 1.99 / 0.45 Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 04:22 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 04:22 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Cagliari

Reported absences

  • A. DeiolaMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • M. FeliciMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • KevinMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • R. IdrissiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • Y. TrepyQuestionable · Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Juventus

Reported absences

  • K. ThuramMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • A. MilikMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • K. GrabaraMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • J. BogaQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • M. LocatelliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • K. YildizMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • J. EkhatorQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 10 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Cagliari

22.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 4
Points / played
12 / 5

Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC.

Juventus

9.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 02 Oct 2026 10:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 7
Points / played
10 / 5

Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Cagliari 1–0 JuventusSerie A · UTC
  2. Juventus 2–1 CagliariSerie A · UTC
  3. Cagliari 0–1 JuventusSerie A · UTC
  4. Juventus 4–0 CagliariCoppa Italia · UTC
  5. Juventus 1–1 CagliariSerie A · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 18:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1550138
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
cd032e63a2cb16c2e45720e4bb3fe2abb1c69ee21208d0ba1ade238909bb1f9f