Serie A · 19 Oct 2026

Parma vs TorinoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–3 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 20 Oct 2026 11:20 UTC. Source synced 19 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 1H Initial source observation · 19 Oct 2026 19:11 UTC Source synced 19 Oct 2026 19:11 UTC · source kickoff 19 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 0–3 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 20 Oct 2026 11:20 UTC Source synced 19 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC · source kickoff 19 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 12 Oct 2026 18:59 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Parma

WDLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Parma scored 5 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Parma 2–1 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  2. Parma 1–1 MonzaSerie A · UTC
  3. Parma 0–2 CremoneseCoppa Italia · UTC
  4. Parma 0–1 CagliariSerie A · UTC
  5. Parma 2–0 CataniaCoppa Italia · UTC

Away matches

Torino

DWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Torino scored 6 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Bologna 1–1 TorinoSerie A · UTC
  2. Fiorentina 1–2 TorinoSerie A · UTC
  3. Sassuolo 2–1 TorinoSerie A · UTC
  4. Burnley 0–1 TorinoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. Cagliari 2–1 TorinoSerie A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Parma

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.29 / 1.44
xG per match, for / against
0.65 / 0.72
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Parma vs Genoa xG for / against Parma: 0.53 / 0.70 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC.
  2. Parma vs Cagliari xG for / against Parma: 0.76 / 0.74 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 02:20 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 02:20 UTC.

Away matches

Torino

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.93 / 2.54
xG per match, for / against
0.97 / 1.27
Goals on this same sample
2 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Bologna vs Torino xG for / against Torino: 1.14 / 0.92 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 05:34 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 05:34 UTC.
  2. Cagliari vs Torino xG for / against Torino: 0.79 / 1.62 Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Parma

Reported absences

  • H. Nicolussi CavigliaMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • P. AlmqvistMissing Fixture · Calf Injury Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • A. NdiayeMissing Fixture · Knock Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Torino

Reported absences

  • F. IsraelMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • E. IlkhanQuestionable · Injury Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.
  • N. FortiniQuestionable · Hernia Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Parma

9.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 16
Points / played
4 / 6

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.

Torino

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 12 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 13
Points / played
7 / 6

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Torino 4–1 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  2. Parma 2–1 TorinoSerie A · UTC
  3. Parma 2–2 TorinoSerie A · UTC
  4. Torino 0–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 18 Oct 2026 18:51 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1550154
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
ac8b501f7935aeae6b76519926d178c2a0f51c0c8c62b83aaee5c875629c5e29