Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 0–3· regulation time
Result record v2 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 03:01 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC.
Result changes (1)
v1 · HT
Initial source observation · 18 Oct 2026 11:21 UTC
Source synced 18 Oct 2026 11:21 UTC · source kickoff 18 Oct 2026 10:30 UTC
v2 · FT · 0–3
Source status, score or kickoff changed · 19 Oct 2026 03:01 UTC
Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC · source kickoff 18 Oct 2026 10:30 UTC
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 11 Oct 2026 10:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Udinese
LLWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Udinese scored 5 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Udinese 0–1 CagliariSerie A · UTC
Udinese 1–2 LazioSerie A · UTC
Udinese 2–1 VeneziaCoppa Italia · UTC
Udinese 1–1 ComoSerie A · UTC
Udinese 1–0 PadovaCoppa Italia · UTC
Away matches
Lecce
LLWLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Lecce scored 5 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
AC Milan 3–0 LecceSerie A · UTC
Cagliari 1–0 LecceSerie A · UTC
Venezia 0–2 LecceSerie A · UTC
Palermo 2–0 LecceCoppa Italia · UTC
Sassuolo 2–3 LecceSerie A · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Udinese
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.13 / 1.12
xG per match, for / against
2.13 / 1.12
Goals on this same sample
0 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Udinese vs CagliarixG for / against Udinese: 2.13 / 1.12
Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 05:35 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 05:35 UTC.
Away matches
Lecce
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.04 / 6.12
xG per match, for / against
1.01 / 2.04
Goals on this same sample
5 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
AC Milan vs LeccexG for / against Lecce: 0.21 / 2.19
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 06:45 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 06:45 UTC.
Venezia vs LeccexG for / against Lecce: 2.21 / 2.10
Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 04:22 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 04:22 UTC.
Sassuolo vs LeccexG for / against Lecce: 0.62 / 1.83
Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Udinese
Reported absences
N. ZanioloMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
V. BayoMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
J. PiotrowskiQuestionable · Heart Problems
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
A. ZanoliQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
J. AbankwahMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
I. GueyeMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Lecce
Reported absences
I. IlicMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
N. StulicQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
M. BerishaQuestionable · Lacking Match Fitness
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 05:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Udinese
5.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 12 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 15
Points / played
4 / 6
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 10:14 UTC.
Lecce
6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 13
Points / played
6 / 6
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 10:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Lecce 2–1 UdineseSerie A · UTC
Udinese 3–2 LecceSerie A · UTC
Lecce 0–1 UdineseSerie A · UTC
Udinese 1–0 LecceSerie A · UTC
Lecce 0–2 UdineseSerie A · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 10:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.