Serie A · 02 Nov 2026

Atalanta vs ParmaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 26 Oct 2026 19:59 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Atalanta

DWWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Atalanta scored 12 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atalanta 4–4 FrosinoneSerie A · UTC
  2. Atalanta 3–1 PafosUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
  3. Atalanta 3–1 VeneziaSerie A · UTC
  4. Atalanta 1–2 CagliariSerie A · UTC
  5. Atalanta 1–0 BolognaSerie A · UTC

Away matches

Parma

LLLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
2 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Parma scored 2 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Lazio 2–1 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  2. Inter 3–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  3. Como 2–1 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  4. Juventus 2–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  5. Como 1–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Atalanta

Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
11.44 / 7.95
xG per match, for / against
2.29 / 1.59
Goals on this same sample
12 / 8

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Atalanta vs Frosinone xG for / against Atalanta: 3.88 / 1.95 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 11:54 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 11:54 UTC.
  2. Atalanta vs Pafos xG for / against Atalanta: 3.47 / 0.91 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC.
  3. Atalanta vs Venezia xG for / against Atalanta: 2.19 / 2.48 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 04:14 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 04:14 UTC.
  4. Atalanta vs Cagliari xG for / against Atalanta: 1.74 / 1.32 Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
  5. Atalanta vs Bologna xG for / against Atalanta: 0.16 / 1.29 Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.

Away matches

Parma

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.64 / 8.82
xG per match, for / against
0.66 / 2.21
Goals on this same sample
2 / 9

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Lazio vs Parma xG for / against Parma: 0.81 / 1.74 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 03:05 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 03:05 UTC.
  2. Inter vs Parma xG for / against Parma: 0.46 / 2.42 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 06:18 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 06:18 UTC.
  3. Como vs Parma xG for / against Parma: 1.15 / 2.98 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC.
  4. Juventus vs Parma xG for / against Parma: 0.22 / 1.68 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Atalanta

Reported absences

  • S. KolasinacMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • F. KessieMissing Fixture · Calf Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • G. RaspadoriMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • G. ScamaccaMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • O. KossounouMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • R. BellanovaMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • I. HienMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • T. KristensenQuestionable · Injury Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Parma

Reported absences

  • L. ValentiMissing Fixture · Coach's decision Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.
  • N. ElphegeMissing Fixture · Illness Record synced 01 Nov 2026 09:04 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Atalanta

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 12
Points / played
11 / 9

Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 19:14 UTC.

Parma

5.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 18
Points / played
5 / 9

Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 19:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Atalanta 4–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  2. Parma 1–1 AtalantaSerie A · UTC
  3. Atalanta 2–3 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  4. Parma 1–3 AtalantaSerie A · UTC
  5. Parma 4–1 AtalantaFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 01 Nov 2026 19:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1550178
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
3f5679087e85dffadc60e34e4153ce38edaf1401763a2679d2a489e701505401