Serie A · 01 Nov 2026

Lecce vs GenoaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 25 Oct 2026 17:08 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Lecce

LLWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Lecce scored 5 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Lecce 0–2 JuventusSerie A · UTC
  2. Lecce 1–2 BolognaSerie A · UTC
  3. Lecce 3–2 MonzaSerie A · UTC
  4. Lecce 0–4 AS RomaSerie A · UTC
  5. Lecce 1–0 SS MonopoliFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Genoa

LLLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
2 / 17
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Genoa scored 2 and conceded 17 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. AS Roma 2–0 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  2. Rapid 2–0 GenoaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Parma 2–1 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  4. Lazio 1–0 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  5. Bournemouth 10–1 GenoaFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Lecce

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.17 / 9.08
xG per match, for / against
1.04 / 2.27
Goals on this same sample
4 / 10

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Lecce vs Juventus xG for / against Lecce: 0.86 / 1.06 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC.
  2. Lecce vs Bologna xG for / against Lecce: 1.49 / 1.98 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 13:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 13:35 UTC.
  3. Lecce vs Monza xG for / against Lecce: 1.08 / 2.79 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 04:10 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 04:10 UTC.
  4. Lecce vs AS Roma xG for / against Lecce: 0.74 / 3.25 Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 18:42 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 18:42 UTC.

Away matches

Genoa

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.74 / 3.41
xG per match, for / against
0.58 / 1.14
Goals on this same sample
1 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. AS Roma vs Genoa xG for / against Genoa: 0.47 / 1.33 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 09:35 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 09:35 UTC.
  2. Parma vs Genoa xG for / against Genoa: 0.70 / 0.53 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC.
  3. Lazio vs Genoa xG for / against Genoa: 0.57 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Lecce

Reported absences

  • W. GeubbelsQuestionable · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • L. CoulibalyMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • S. PierottiMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • I. IlicMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • M. BerishaMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Genoa

Reported absences

  • M. E. EllertssonQuestionable · Ankle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • E. HavelQuestionable · Ankle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • L. VenturinoMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Lecce

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 14
Points / played
9 / 9

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.

Genoa

3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 13
Points / played
10 / 9

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Lecce 1–0 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  2. Genoa 0–0 LecceSerie A · UTC
  3. Genoa 2–1 LecceSerie A · UTC
  4. Lecce 0–0 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  5. Genoa 2–1 LecceSerie A · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 17:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1550184
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
9f58085c6b0cf1e83c333bd6fddb46e5f1f7e86160785457a377fc4fb1556541